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UNT Dallas

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: UNT Dallas
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 943 (#359) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 988 (#351) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.7 (#299) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.355 (#407) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.705 (#295) AdjNet +7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More → 0.697 (#303) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.619 (#305) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 70.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.496 (#306) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.496 (#318) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.491 (#321) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 915 (#338) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-24 @ Central Okla. L 67 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Josh Nwankwo - 1 38.6 24.0 14.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 27.0 -1 -0.1 -0.3 41.2 0.0 76.9 2.73 52.8 41.2
Matthew Willenborg - 1 36.8 23.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 18.0 18.0 42 1.8 13.1 50.0 25.0 100.0 2.75 58.2 52.8
Ben Averitt - 1 30.5 14.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 11.0 76 3.5 39.8 63.6 0 0 -0.66 63.6 63.6
Parker Hannah - 1 30.9 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 3.0 42 1.8 14.3 40.0 28.6 0 -1.55 50.0 50.0
Marcus Zeigler, Jr. - 1 30.5 5.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 12.0 107 4.7 25.2 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.54 38.8 33.3
Connor Newton - 1 9.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 26 2.9 183.0 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.08 52.1 50.0
Trey Tuck - 1 11.2 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 32 1.5 78.7 50.0 0.0 0 0.32 50.0 50.0
Brady Hancuff - 1 12.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5 0.2 4.1 0 0 0 -3.69 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG