Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1038 (#199) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#302) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#182) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.992 (#57) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.957 (#70) | AdjNet +26.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.968 (#57) | AdjNet +28.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.931 (#29) | AdjO 100.7 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.617 (#127) | AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 74.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.715 (#128) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.670 (#157) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#138) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-06 | vs | Mount Olive | W | 105 - 66 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trazarien White | - | 1 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 77.8 | - | 72.1 | 66.7 |
| KJ Jenkins | - | 1 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Nick Farrar | - | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | - | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Shykeim Phillips | - | 1 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Maleeck Harden-Hayes | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | - | 61.5 | 58.3 |
| Nolan Hodge | - | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Donovan Newby | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 60.2 | 50.0 |
| Shemar Rathan-Mayes | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Khamari McGriff | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Makoa Surigao | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Noah Ross | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Matthew Moore | - | 1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 64 | 4.3 | 15.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.32 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG