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UNCW

Also known as: UNCW
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1038 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 996 (#302) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.6 (#182) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.992 (#57) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.9 More → 0.957 (#70) AdjNet +26.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.7 More → 0.968 (#57) AdjNet +28.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 100.7 | AdjD 72.0 More → 0.931 (#29) AdjO 100.7 | AdjD 72.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.617 (#127) AdjO 80.2 | AdjD 74.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.715 (#127) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.670 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#130) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-15 vs Mount Olive W 85 - 55

2022 Roster

No roster data available for this season.