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UNC Greensboro

Also known as: UNC Greensboro
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1023 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1040 (#305) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 992 (#512) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +9.4 (#98) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +6.2 (#269) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.2 More → 0.982 (#69) AdjNet +34.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.1 More → 0.984 (#70) AdjNet +34.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 62.7 More → 0.897 (#100) AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 62.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.624 (#178) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.649 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.638 (#273) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 313 | GP 1 More → 1115 (#148) RD 313 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-12 vs William Peace - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.