🐻⬇️🏀

UNC Greensboro

Also known as: UNC Greensboro
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1022 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1036 (#299) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 992 (#512) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +6.2 (#269) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#91) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.2 More → 0.982 (#69) AdjNet +34.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.1 More → 0.984 (#70) AdjNet +34.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 62.7 More → 0.897 (#100) AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 62.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.624 (#178) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.649 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.638 (#274) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 313 | GP 1 More → 1121 (#144) RD 313 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-12 vs William Peace W 90 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Justin Neely - 1 27.4 24.0 11.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 23.0 - - - 64.7 50.0 50.0 - 67.1 67.6
KJ Younger - 1 30.4 18.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 16.0 - - - 46.2 33.3 71.4 - 56.0 50.0
Antwann Jones - 1 21.4 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 5.0 30 1.4 231.5 62.5 50.0 0 0.91 68.8 68.8
Lilian Marville - 1 23.3 11.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 57.1 100.0 0 - 78.6 78.6
Valentino Pinedo - 1 22.2 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 6.0 - - - 55.6 0 50.0 - 55.7 55.6
Donald Whitehead, Jr. - 1 22.7 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 78 4.6 27.3 50.0 33.3 100.0 2.91 71.7 62.5
Chane Bynum - 1 1.4 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Noah Norgaard - 1 20.4 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Assane Mandian - 1 8.9 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Braylen Bowman - 1 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Clinton Efinda - 1 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Domas Kauzonas - 1 4.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Landon King - 1 13.1 0.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG