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UMass

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UMass Minutemen, UMass
Program History
Coach: Matt McCall

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

75.7
PPG
77.3
Opp
-1.7
Margin
48.3%
FG%
50.9%
3P%
83.8%
FT%
30.3
RPG
12.7
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.1
Adj PPG
73.2
Adj Opp PPG
#195
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 862 (#245) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 922 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 922 (#281) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -2.0 (#192) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -3.0 (#214) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.394 (#236) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.442 (#187) AdjNet -2.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.0 More → 0.443 (#186) AdjNet -2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.452 (#195) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.416 (#253) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 75.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.396 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.389 (#230) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 33 More → 908 (#233) RD 129 | GP 33

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 74 - 69
2017-11-12 @ Harvard Crimson L 67 - 70
2017-11-19 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 101 - 76
2017-11-21 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 85 - 76
2017-11-24 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 51 - 69
2017-11-25 vs BYU Cougars L 66 - 68
2017-11-29 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 66 - 68
2017-12-02 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 70 - 76
2017-12-06 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 64 - 50
2017-12-09 vs Providence Friars W 72 - 63
2017-12-16 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 72 - 62
2017-12-20 vs Georgia State Panthers L 63 - 71
2017-12-22 vs Maine Black Bears W 74 - 63
2017-12-30 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 78 - 98
2018-01-03 vs George Mason Patriots L 72 - 80
2018-01-06 @ Dayton Flyers W 62 - 60
2018-01-10 vs La Salle Explorers W 86 - 79
2018-01-14 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 72 - 69
2018-01-17 @ Rhode Island Rams L 51 - 73
2018-01-20 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 47 - 66
2018-01-24 @ La Salle Explorers L 72 - 87
2018-01-27 @ Fordham Rams L 69 - 82
2018-01-30 vs Rhode Island Rams L 83 - 85
2018-02-03 vs Dayton Flyers W 86 - 82
2018-02-10 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 73 - 85
2018-02-14 vs George Washington Revolutionaries L 72 - 83
2018-02-17 @ Davidson Wildcats L 78 - 83
2018-02-21 vs VCU Rams L 78 - 82
2018-02-24 @ George Mason Patriots L 76 - 78
2018-02-28 @ Richmond Spiders L 65 - 90
2018-03-03 vs Duquesne Dukes W 85 - 75
2018-03-07 @ La Salle Explorers W 69 - 67
2018-03-08 @ George Mason Patriots L 75 - 80

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Pipkins L. Pipkins G 30 35.2 21.3 3.6 4.0 1.5 0.0 3.5 5.6 21.3 4 29 0.1 0.2 44.6 41.4 79.6 2.26 166.6 55.4
C. Pierre C. Pierre G 31 31.9 12.6 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 1.0 3.7 12.2 -22 30 -0.7 -1.0 44.7 47.9 92.3 1.17 163.7 60.1
C.J. Anderson C.J. Anderson G 30 35.2 10.3 5.0 5.1 0.7 0.2 2.3 2.4 16.5 -32 30 -1.1 -1.3 43.1 42.9 83.3 0.58 170.2 51.4
R. Holloway R. Holloway C 13 17.8 9.8 4.6 0.3 0.4 1.7 1.8 2.1 12.8 - - - - 66.7 0 66.7 - 224.2 66.7
M. Hines M. Hines C 31 27.0 9.2 6.1 0.8 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.2 13.5 -56 30 -1.9 -2.9 61.8 0 85.7 -2.17 178.0 61.8
U. McLean U. McLean G 31 26.4 5.4 4.9 1.8 0.7 0.4 1.2 1.7 10.3 22 30 0.7 1.3 35.2 42.1 72.2 1.15 135.7 42.6
C. Baldwin C. Baldwin F 19 17.0 4.9 4.2 0.7 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.2 8.5 0 18 0.0 0.0 43.5 41.7 83.3 -0.33 183.3 54.3
R. Miller R. Miller G 31 24.7 4.6 1.6 1.9 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.7 5.9 -131 30 -4.4 -7.9 34.6 32.3 57.1 -6.18 128.9 44.2
R. West R. West F 8 11.5 2.1 3.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 5.9 -28 8 -3.5 -14.6 20.0 0 0 -4.07 170.0 20.0
K. Turner-Morris K. Turner-Morris C 22 6.4 1.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.8 -15 22 -0.7 -4.7 50.0 0 75.0 -1.6 99.9 50.0
M. Gillespie M. Gillespie - 3 1.7 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Franklin J. Franklin G 12 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2 -15 13 -1.2 -17.8 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG