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UMass Lowell

Season: 2026 2013
Also known as: UMass Lowell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1058 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1006 (#337) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -0.8 (#381) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.708 (#286) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.3 More → 0.674 (#329) AdjNet +6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.7 More → 0.688 (#329) AdjNet +6.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 56.1 More → 0.561 (#350) AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 56.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 62.1 More → 0.464 (#439) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 62.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.563 (#300) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.555 (#300) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1083 (#150) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Saint Anselm W 54 - 50

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anabel Latorre Ciria - 1 21.7 15.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 14.0 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 102.5 100.0
Paris Gilmore - 1 28.1 15.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 16.0 0.0 - - - 31.2 14.3 66.7 - 40.2 34.4
Klimentina Modeva - 1 10.6 6.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 - - - 60.0 0 0.0 - 55.1 60.0
Jaini Edmonds - 1 27.6 6.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 -3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 33.8 25.0
Sabrina Larsson - 1 37.5 5.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Maddie Rice - 1 27.6 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Tyanna Medina - 1 21.9 3.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 100.0 - 20.2 14.3
Adna Halilbasic - 1 25.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG