UMass Lowell
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#183) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1105 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#457) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#369) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.997 (#9) | AdjNet +50.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.998 (#9) | AdjNet +50.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.976 (#7) | AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#365) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.529 (#377) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.520 (#384) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1062 (#268) | RD 81 | GP 39 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-06 | @ | Harvard | L | 50 - 78 |
| 2023-11-06 | vs | Rivier | W | 96 - 51 |
| 2023-11-08 | vs | MIT | L | 81 - 88 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Brandeis | L | 77 - 86 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Trinity (CT) | L | 52 - 84 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Colby | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2023-11-28 | vs | Bridgewater St. | W | 100 - 64 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Tufts | L | 64 - 79 |
| 2023-12-06 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 96 - 77 |
| 2023-12-29 | vs | Wentworth | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Lycoming | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2024-01-04 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2024-01-09 | vs | UMass Boston | W | 90 - 54 |
| 2024-01-11 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | WestConn | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Keene St. | L | 76 - 104 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Connecticut Col. | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2024-01-24 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 84 - 66 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Plymouth St. | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | VTSU Castleton | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | UMass Boston | W | 101 - 85 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Southern Me. | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | Keene St. | L | 78 - 99 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | WestConn | L | 82 - 103 |
| 2024-02-20 | vs | UMass Boston | W | 103 - 83 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ | WestConn | L | 63 - 88 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Zayas | - | 1 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 9.0 | -52 | -13.0 | -137.6 | 38.9 | 54.5 | 0 | -0.06 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | - | 1 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 79.4 | 77.8 |
| Ayinde Hikim | - | 1 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 75.9 | 72.2 |
| Isaac Percy | - | 27 | 26.8 | 14.2 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 11.7 | 7.8 | -59 | -14.8 | -36.1 | 46.4 | 37.6 | 81.8 | -1.02 | 56.1 | 53.3 |
| Cam Morris III | - | 1 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.9 | 85.7 |
| Josh Lopes | - | 26 | 26.5 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 13.1 | 6.3 | -37 | -12.3 | -51.9 | 38.8 | 22.7 | 79.7 | -0.31 | 45.8 | 41.8 |
| Jackson Zancan | - | 27 | 28.3 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -21 | -5.2 | -18.7 | 45.8 | 30.0 | 66.7 | -0.04 | 53.4 | 50.2 |
| Nic Boyd | - | 27 | 23.5 | 10.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9.5 | 3.1 | -11 | -0.8 | -5.1 | 37.9 | 39.8 | 70.6 | -0.26 | 51.6 | 50.8 |
| Quinton Mincey | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | - | 64.4 | 58.3 |
| John Marcille | - | 27 | 25.5 | 9.7 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 7.6 | 8.5 | -26 | -6.5 | -12.3 | 43.4 | 40.7 | 69.8 | -0.47 | 58.7 | 56.8 |
| Max Brooks | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -1 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.63 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Andres Fulgencio | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Cameron Love | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -8 | -4.0 | -37.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hector Perez | - | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | -36 | -4.0 | -119.0 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Xzavier Lino | - | 1 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Brayden O'Connor | - | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 75.4 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Flauto | - | 26 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 6.7 | -24 | -2.2 | -31.5 | 77.0 | 0 | 86.7 | 0.01 | 78.5 | 77.0 |
| Jayquan Leonard | - | 27 | 28.0 | 5.2 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 5.6 | -36 | -9.0 | -24.5 | 31.5 | 42.9 | 80.0 | -0.09 | 43.6 | 37.8 |
| Michael Eurquhart Jr. | - | 26 | 21.2 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.5 | -32 | -8.0 | -29.1 | 53.8 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.12 | 55.7 | 53.8 |
| Yuri Covington | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Anthony Maxwell | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Bobby Joy | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -24 | -6.0 | -87.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Camden Dunbury | - | 14 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 28 | 2.8 | 58.9 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | -0.16 | 44.1 | 45.0 |
| Carson Meczywor | - | 1 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -43 | -3.9 | -200.8 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.39 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Alex Woolery | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -6 | -3.0 | -22.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.42 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Jordan Thompson | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -17 | -8.5 | -45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.25 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Fidendi Francois | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 12 | 4.0 | 21.6 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Chris Ouko | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Dom Shaw | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -4.0 | 8 | 4.0 | 34.5 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.36 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Darius Peterson | - | 23 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 11 | 0.9 | 14.6 | 27.8 | 24.0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 38.0 | 36.1 |
| Kalil Fofana | - | 15 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -2 | -0.7 | -12.2 | 40.0 | 0 | 62.5 | -0.59 | 52.8 | 40.0 |
| Lorenzo Jackson | - | 22 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 5 | 1.7 | 13.3 | 80.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.1 | 81.4 | 80.0 |
| Liedson Mendes | - | 21 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -2 | -0.5 | -11.2 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.54 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Ghared Boyce | - | 16 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Chike Ezeonu | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jon Guerrier | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Jean-Louis | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ephraim Acquah | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Keenan Bey | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Blunt | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Darius Azor | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.34 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Bruno | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Corrie Byrd | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -11 | -1.6 | -171.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Erik Donaldson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jadin Draper | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Ish Fofana | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.64 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG