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UMass Lowell

Also known as: UMass Lowell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1048 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1105 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1000 (#457) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -1.4 (#369) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#42) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +50.5 More → 0.997 (#9) AdjNet +50.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +50.7 More → 0.998 (#9) AdjNet +50.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.976 (#7) AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4 More → 0.515 (#365) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.529 (#377) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.520 (#384) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 81 | GP 39 More → 1062 (#268) RD 81 | GP 39

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 @ Harvard L 50 - 78
2023-11-06 vs Rivier W 96 - 51
2023-11-08 vs MIT L 81 - 88
2023-11-11 @ Brandeis L 77 - 86
2023-11-17 vs Trinity (CT) L 52 - 84
2023-11-18 vs Colby L 74 - 80
2023-11-28 vs Bridgewater St. W 100 - 64
2023-12-02 vs Tufts L 64 - 79
2023-12-06 @ Eastern Conn. St. W 83 - 78
2023-12-09 vs Plymouth St. W 96 - 77
2023-12-29 vs Wentworth W 83 - 80
2023-12-30 @ Lycoming W 81 - 50
2024-01-04 @ Rhode Island Col. W 82 - 73
2024-01-06 vs VTSU Castleton W 73 - 72
2024-01-09 vs UMass Boston W 90 - 54
2024-01-11 @ Southern Me. L 64 - 70
2024-01-13 vs WestConn W 87 - 84
2024-01-17 @ Keene St. L 76 - 104
2024-01-20 @ Connecticut Col. L 59 - 71
2024-01-24 vs Eastern Conn. St. W 84 - 66
2024-01-27 @ Plymouth St. L 59 - 62
2024-01-31 vs Rhode Island Col. W 75 - 64
2024-02-03 @ VTSU Castleton W 80 - 67
2024-02-07 @ UMass Boston W 101 - 85
2024-02-10 vs Southern Me. W 79 - 66
2024-02-14 vs Keene St. L 78 - 99
2024-02-17 @ WestConn L 82 - 103
2024-02-20 vs UMass Boston W 103 - 83
2024-02-22 @ WestConn L 63 - 88

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emanuel Zayas - 1 36.0 20.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 18.0 9.0 -52 -13.0 -137.6 38.9 54.5 0 -0.06 55.6 55.6
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly - 1 14.0 15.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 10.0 - - - 77.8 0 100.0 - 79.4 77.8
Ayinde Hikim - 1 21.0 15.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 9.0 12.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 100.0 - 75.9 72.2
Isaac Percy - 27 26.8 14.2 4.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.8 11.7 7.8 -59 -14.8 -36.1 46.4 37.6 81.8 -1.02 56.1 53.3
Cam Morris III - 1 13.0 14.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 85.7 0 50.0 - 79.9 85.7
Josh Lopes - 26 26.5 13.0 4.0 3.5 1.7 0.2 2.9 13.1 6.3 -37 -12.3 -51.9 38.8 22.7 79.7 -0.31 45.8 41.8
Jackson Zancan - 27 28.3 12.3 5.0 2.1 0.9 0.5 1.9 10.0 9.0 -21 -5.2 -18.7 45.8 30.0 66.7 -0.04 53.4 50.2
Nic Boyd - 27 23.5 10.1 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.0 1.3 9.5 3.1 -11 -0.8 -5.1 37.9 39.8 70.6 -0.26 51.6 50.8
Quinton Mincey - 1 19.0 10.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 75.0 - 64.4 58.3
John Marcille - 27 25.5 9.7 4.9 1.2 1.1 0.3 1.0 7.6 8.5 -26 -6.5 -12.3 43.4 40.7 69.8 -0.47 58.7 56.8
Max Brooks - 1 20.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 -1 -0.3 -0.4 57.1 0 50.0 0.63 57.1 57.1
Andres Fulgencio - 1 17.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 6.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 0 - 44.4 44.4
Cameron Love - 1 18.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 -8 -4.0 -37.4 50.0 0 0 -0.51 50.0 50.0
Hector Perez - 1 20.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -1.0 -36 -4.0 -119.0 33.3 25.0 0 -0.29 44.4 44.4
Xzavier Lino - 1 10.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 - - - 28.6 50.0 100.0 - 44.4 35.7
Brayden O'Connor - 1 21.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 83.3 - 75.4 50.0
Ryan Flauto - 26 11.9 5.7 4.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 3.3 6.7 -24 -2.2 -31.5 77.0 0 86.7 0.01 78.5 77.0
Jayquan Leonard - 27 28.0 5.2 2.7 4.1 1.0 0.0 2.1 5.3 5.6 -36 -9.0 -24.5 31.5 42.9 80.0 -0.09 43.6 37.8
Michael Eurquhart Jr. - 26 21.2 5.1 6.4 0.5 1.3 1.1 1.0 4.0 9.5 -32 -8.0 -29.1 53.8 0 60.0 -0.12 55.7 53.8
Yuri Covington - 1 18.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Anthony Maxwell - 1 19.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.0 20.0
Bobby Joy - 1 30.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 -24 -6.0 -87.7 25.0 0.0 0 -0.23 25.0 25.0
Camden Dunbury - 14 6.5 3.2 1.9 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.8 2.9 3.1 28 2.8 58.9 45.0 0.0 36.0 -0.16 44.1 45.0
Carson Meczywor - 1 24.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 -43 -3.9 -200.8 16.7 33.3 0 -0.39 25.0 25.0
Alex Woolery - 1 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -6 -3.0 -22.3 100.0 100.0 0 -0.42 150.0 150.0
Jordan Thompson - 1 8.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -17 -8.5 -45.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.25 53.2 0.0
Fidendi Francois - 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -1.0 12 4.0 21.6 20.0 0.0 0 0.27 20.0 20.0
Chris Ouko - 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Dom Shaw - 1 19.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -4.0 8 4.0 34.5 16.7 0.0 0 -0.36 16.7 16.7
Darius Peterson - 23 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.6 0.3 11 0.9 14.6 27.8 24.0 100.0 -0.02 38.0 36.1
Kalil Fofana - 15 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 -2 -0.7 -12.2 40.0 0 62.5 -0.59 52.8 40.0
Lorenzo Jackson - 22 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 5 1.7 13.3 80.0 0 75.0 -0.1 81.4 80.0
Liedson Mendes - 21 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 -2 -0.5 -11.2 40.0 100.0 50.0 -0.54 59.5 60.0
Ghared Boyce - 16 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Chike Ezeonu - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jon Guerrier - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Steven Jean-Louis - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ephraim Acquah - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keenan Bey - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Anthony Blunt - 1 13.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Darius Azor - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.34 0.0 0.0
Jordan Bruno - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Corrie Byrd - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -1.6 -171.4 0 0 0 -1.07 0 0
Erik Donaldson - 1 21.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 2 0.2 6.1 0.0 0 0 -0.21 0.0 0.0
Jadin Draper - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.06 0 0
Ish Fofana - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG