UMass Lowell
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#183) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1105 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#457) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#369) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.997 (#9) | AdjNet +50.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.998 (#9) | AdjNet +50.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.976 (#7) | AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#365) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.529 (#377) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.520 (#384) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1062 (#268) | RD 81 | GP 39 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-11 | vs | Connecticut Col. | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Kean | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | TBA | - | Preview |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | MIT | L | 91 - 97 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Brandeis | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Bridgewater St. | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Tufts | L | 77 - 90 |
| 2022-12-07 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2022-12-17 | @ | Plymouth St. | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2022-12-20 | vs | Wartburg | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2022-12-21 | @ | Carthage | L | 58 - 81 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Keene St. | L | 72 - 100 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2023-01-09 | @ | WestConn | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | UMass Boston | L | 47 - 57 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | VTSU Castleton | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2023-01-23 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | WestConn | L | 80 - 98 |
| 2023-02-01 | vs | UMass Boston | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2023-02-08 | @ | Keene St. | L | 65 - 82 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2023-02-15 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 82 - 40 |
| 2023-02-21 | @ | Southern Me. | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2023-02-23 | @ | WestConn | L | 75 - 94 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.