UMass Lowell
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#183) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1105 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#457) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#369) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.997 (#9) | AdjNet +50.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.998 (#9) | AdjNet +50.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.976 (#7) | AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#365) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.529 (#377) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.520 (#384) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1062 (#268) | RD 81 | GP 39 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 93 - 63 |
| 2021-11-06 | vs | Fitchburg St. | W | 93 - 63 |
| 2021-11-09 | @ | Bridgewater St. | W | 80 - 48 |
| 2021-11-11 | vs | MIT | W | 89 - 87 |
| 2021-11-16 | vs | Tufts | W | 92 - 71 |
| 2021-11-18 | @ | Westfield St. | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Brandeis | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2021-11-28 | @ | Roger Williams | W | 102 - 71 |
| 2021-12-08 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2022-01-05 | @ | WestConn | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2022-01-15 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 90 - 68 |
| 2022-01-17 | vs | UMass Boston | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 104 - 94 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2022-01-28 | vs | WestConn | W | 110 - 55 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Keene St. | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2022-02-02 | @ | UMass Boston | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Southern Me. | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-06 | @ | Southern Me. | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Keene St. | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Plymouth St. | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2022-02-13 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 91 - 66 |
| 2022-02-16 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | VTSU Castleton | W | 88 - 74 |
| 2022-02-22 | vs | Southern Me. | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2022-02-24 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 98 - 86 |
| 2022-02-26 | vs | Keene St. | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2022-03-04 | vs | Emerson | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2022-03-05 | @ | Nazareth | W | 78 - 68 |
| 2022-03-11 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 69 - 92 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.