UMass Lowell
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#183) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1105 (#135) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1000 (#457) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#369) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#42) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.997 (#9) | AdjNet +50.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.998 (#9) | AdjNet +50.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.976 (#7) | AdjO 99.7 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#365) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.529 (#377) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.520 (#384) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1074 (#243) | RD 81 | GP 39 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-29 | @ | Roger Williams | - | Preview |
| 2021-01-23 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 76 - 41 |
| 2021-02-03 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2021-02-06 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2021-02-10 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2021-02-13 | vs | Keene St. | L | 67 - 68 |
| 2021-02-14 | @ | Keene St. | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2021-02-20 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 85 - 87 |
| 2021-02-21 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 90 - 72 |
| 2021-03-01 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 93 - 89 |
| 2021-03-04 | vs | Keene St. | W | 108 - 68 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.