UMass Dartmouth
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 856 (#451) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 972 (#366) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 928 (#585) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.3 (#267) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.4 (#501) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.849 (#270) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.199 (#452) | NetEff -10.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.850 (#239) | AdjNet +15.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.851 (#242) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.710 (#231) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.367 (#571) | AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.336 (#502) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.338 (#506) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 922 (#398) | RD 100 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | JWU (Providence) | L | 87 - 99 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Bridgewater St. | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Smith | L | 38 - 83 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Emerson | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Roger Williams | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 42 - 64 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Hartford | L | 44 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | WestConn | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 54 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Keene St. | L | 39 - 50 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | VTSU Castleton | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 50 - 76 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Plymouth St. | L | 54 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melanie DeMeo | - | 13 | 31.7 | 15.9 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 12.2 | 8.2 | -140 | -8.2 | -65.1 | 41.1 | 45.8 | 85.9 | -2.29 | 55.6 | 48.1 |
| Yasmine Santos | - | 16 | 27.4 | 14.9 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 28.6 | 69.2 | 2.21 | 50.1 | 42.2 |
| Christina Negron | - | 1 | 35.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | -95 | -5.6 | -49.5 | 30.8 | 36.4 | 50.0 | -0.29 | 46.8 | 46.2 |
| Kaila Pruitt | - | 14 | 22.5 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 7.9 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 35.1 | 38.8 | 58.3 | - | 49.9 | 49.1 |
| Cristina Negron | - | 16 | 25.3 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 1.3 | -95 | -5.6 | -49.5 | 30.6 | 29.4 | 33.3 | -0.29 | 42.1 | 42.1 |
| Kasey Oliver | - | 17 | 28.1 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 5.0 | -79 | -4.6 | -42.1 | 34.2 | 22.2 | 74.4 | -0.16 | 46.4 | 36.8 |
| Carly McDonald | - | 13 | 19.3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 3.4 | -68 | -3.8 | -36.0 | 43.3 | 32.0 | 55.6 | 0.48 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| Amanda Ebenezer | - | 12 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 3.0 | -37 | -2.8 | -31.1 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.9 | 45.4 | 41.5 |
| Riley Graveline | - | 11 | 11.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 26.9 | 60.0 | - | 37.4 | 34.4 |
| Elizabeth Gresian | - | 17 | 20.9 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 5.0 | -15 | -0.8 | -12.5 | 33.9 | 23.1 | 62.5 | -1.28 | 40.4 | 38.7 |
| Jillian Doherty | - | 14 | 11.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | -70 | -4.7 | -49.5 | 29.8 | 17.6 | 100.0 | -0.99 | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| Jenna Micciantuono | - | 7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 1.54 | 34.2 | 29.2 |
| Aubrianna Hoose | - | 6 | 5.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -10 | -1.4 | -19.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -1.47 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
| Mia Wellington | - | 6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.6 | 65.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jai'Reona Brown-Carter | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.8 | -1 | -0.2 | -13.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shelby Companion | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG