UMass Boston
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1024 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 966 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 943 (#575) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.6 (#232) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.3 (#400) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.386 (#501) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.828 (#207) | NetEff +11.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.179 (#499) | AdjNet -13.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.167 (#500) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.320 (#494) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.540 (#318) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 59.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.466 (#406) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.478 (#406) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 973 (#351) | RD 92 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Merrimack | L | 46 - 97 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Mitchell | W | 85 - 61 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Mount Holyoke | W | 64 - 31 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Me.-Fort Kent | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | VTSU-Johnson | W | 73 - 49 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 47 - 64 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Me.-Fort Kent | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Wentworth | W | 79 - 48 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Fitchburg St. | W | 93 - 34 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | L | 46 - 59 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 83 - 52 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Keene St. | L | 52 - 56 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 51 - 74 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | WestConn | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 52 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BERRIOS, Sabanna | - | 1 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 61.5 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 63.9 | 61.5 |
| TAUTALATASI, Jordis | - | 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| FEVRY, Tatiannah | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 81.4 | 90.0 |
| Hialeah Turner-Foster | - | 15 | 23.7 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 6.5 | 44 | 2.6 | 17.2 | 51.2 | 25.0 | 71.7 | 2.81 | 56.8 | 52.1 |
| Sabanna Berrios | - | 15 | 23.4 | 10.9 | 6.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 12.3 | 4.5 | -6 | -0.4 | -1.9 | 39.7 | 0.0 | 56.7 | -1.44 | 41.3 | 39.7 |
| LAGOR, Ashleigh | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Ashleigh Lagor | - | 17 | 26.3 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 19 | 0.9 | 6.6 | 48.2 | 16.7 | 85.2 | 2.97 | 53.4 | 49.6 |
| Jordis Tautalatasi | - | 17 | 23.4 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 107 | 5.3 | 43.8 | 42.4 | 25.0 | 58.8 | 0.03 | 46.9 | 44.8 |
| Madison Haggett | - | 14 | 26.7 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 15 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 34.1 | 30.6 | 69.2 | 0.32 | 44.2 | 42.6 |
| TURNER-FOSTER, H | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 42.4 | 44.4 |
| STURM, Kaydie | - | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Tajeiha Madison | - | 18 | 22.3 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 26 | 1.2 | 14.4 | 37.6 | 28.6 | 81.2 | 0.13 | 46.7 | 43.6 |
| Kaydie Sturm | - | 14 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 77 | 4.5 | 150.4 | 43.1 | 45.7 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 62.8 | 61.2 |
| Tatiannah Fevry | - | 17 | 20.2 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 5.5 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.2 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | -1.1 | 44.6 | 39.0 |
| Alaysia Mondon | - | 3 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 100.0 | 80.0 | - | 70.7 | 64.3 |
| MADISON, Tajeiha | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| H. Turner Foster | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.51 | 34.7 | 25.0 |
| Sibayla Jensen | - | 17 | 21.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 45 | 2.2 | 22.5 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 2.68 | 41.8 | 38.3 |
| Kayla Jackson | - | 12 | 9.9 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 45 | 3.0 | 143.4 | 51.9 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.08 | 53.8 | 51.9 |
| Jaylee Aulds | - | 5 | 9.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 0.6 | -17 | -2.4 | -131.2 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 50.0 | -0.27 | 26.3 | 25.0 |
| AULDS, Jaylee | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| MOLINARI, Mia | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| JACKSON, Kayla | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| JENSEN, Sibayla | - | 1 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Mia Molinari | - | 14 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 36 | 2.0 | 27.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.12 | 47.7 | 50.0 |
| Skye DaCosta | - | 3 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 32.2 | 33.3 |
| Vanessa Bucha | - | 3 | 13.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -6 | -3.0 | -63.4 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.62 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| MONDON, Alaysia | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| DACOSTA, Skye | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
| Tatianna Fevry | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Meghan Connolly | - | 1 | 17.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG