UMass Boston
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1131 (#67) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1094 (#147) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1065 (#140) | HCA +56 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1037 (#218) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.6 (#127) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.7 (#142) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.5 (#372) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.283 (#609) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.211 (#528) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.205 (#529) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.313 (#526) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 80.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.663 (#131) | AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.588 (#229) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.735 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.562 (#345) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.717 (#179) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.554 (#357) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1160 (#95) | RD 244 | GP 1 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1125 (#140) | RD 133 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 88 - 65 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Keene St. | W | 93 - 80 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 63 - 105 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | WestConn | L | 73 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | W | 82 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphel Laurent | - | 4 | 36.3 | 22.8 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 19.1 | 50.0 | 38.1 | 65.7 | 1.83 | 60.3 | 56.7 |
| Noah Dowling | - | 1 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 82 | 5.5 | 32.6 | 88.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 2.65 | 122.2 | 122.2 |
| Davon Sanders | - | 4 | 36.0 | 19.5 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 10.2 | 18.5 | 12 | 0.8 | 11.3 | 43.9 | 47.6 | 82.1 | 0.63 | 67.1 | 56.1 |
| Cameron Perkins | - | 4 | 36.3 | 19.0 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 13.2 | 16.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -7.1 | 39.6 | 37.5 | 84.8 | 1.48 | 56.3 | 45.3 |
| Gabe Lash | - | 1 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 38 | 2.5 | 13.4 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 2.31 | 81.0 | 77.8 |
| Carter Galley | - | 1 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 60 | 4.0 | 24.3 | 80.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.94 | 110.9 | 110.0 |
| Aidan Obriien | - | 1 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Skyler Venezia | - | 5 | 21.4 | 10.6 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 8.0 | 7.4 | -22 | -1.5 | -19.2 | 40.0 | 40.6 | 100.0 | -0.73 | 60.9 | 56.2 |
| Thomas Whelan | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 16 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 45.0 | 43.8 |
| Cohen Galley | - | 1 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 34 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| Andrew Hartel | - | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -10 | -0.7 | -5.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.17 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Connor Walden | - | 5 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 5.2 | 10.0 | 10 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 34.6 | 25.0 | 90.0 | 3.49 | 47.7 | 38.5 |
| Carson Meczywor | - | 4 | 25.3 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 6.2 | -25 | -2.1 | -38.7 | 40.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | -1.63 | 42.5 | 42.0 |
| Steven Cordero | - | 3 | 17.9 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 10 | 0.8 | 2000.0 | 35.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.6 | 44.7 | 41.2 |
| Corrie Byrd | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -18.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Juan Bruce | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3 | 1.0 | 15.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hector Perez | - | 3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -20 | -2.2 | -4000.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.03 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Clayton McLaren | - | 3 | 9.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 28 | 2.3 | 43.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.7 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| D'Anthony Amado | - | 3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Erik Donaldson | - | 2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Fendi Francois | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | -11 | -1.8 | -45.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mikell Orellus | - | 2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -14 | -2.8 | -46.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Seun Sorinmade | - | 2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -2 | -0.3 | -9.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shane Weber | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| George Childs | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -11.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zhangir Dyussenov | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Noah Hebert | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -6 | -2.0 | -35.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zion Simpson | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -4.0 | -57.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.74 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG