🐻⬇️🏀

UMSV

Also known as: UMSV
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 888 (#419) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 741 (#562) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 854 (#648) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -28.5 (#387) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -19.9 (#603) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.713 (#358) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.5 More → 0.134 (#476) NetEff -11.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.7 More → 0.141 (#520) AdjNet -15.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.5 More → 0.124 (#527) AdjNet -16.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.258 (#537) AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.255 (#632) AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.122 (#651) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.136 (#646) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 20 More → 744 (#516) RD 105 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ Albertus Magnus W 65 - 60
2025-11-15 vs WestConn L 37 - 50
2025-11-19 vs Manhattanville L 56 - 68
2025-11-22 @ St. Joseph's (L.I.) L 38 - 48
2025-11-25 vs SUNY New Paltz L 41 - 81
2025-12-03 vs Yeshiva W 80 - 47
2025-12-09 vs Farmingdale St. L 53 - 65
2025-12-13 @ Merchant Marine L 35 - 93
2026-01-13 vs Mt. St. Mary (NY) L 56 - 73
2026-01-17 @ Farmingdale St. L 47 - 59
2026-01-21 @ Manhattanville L 57 - 65
2026-01-24 vs St. Joseph's (L.I.) L 53 - 62
2026-01-27 vs CCNY W 65 - 37
2026-02-01 vs Purchase W 50 - 47
2026-02-04 vs Old Westbury W 68 - 53
2026-02-07 @ St. Joseph's (Brkln) L 51 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hannah Ramsden - 1 35.0 32.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 21.0 154 12.8 55.2 64.7 42.9 87.5 2.95 78.0 73.5
Carolae Barton - 1 16.0 17.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 18.0 143 11.0 64.3 50.0 0 87.5 2.93 62.9 50.0
Emily Grasseler - 1 34.0 15.0 16.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 23.0 135 10.4 47.8 40.0 0 75.0 2.2 44.7 40.0
Grace Kennedy - 11 30.3 11.3 5.5 3.7 1.5 0.2 3.2 11.4 7.5 -79 -5.6 -20.8 36.8 24.4 63.6 -0.53 44.4 41.2
Gretta Baker - 4 24.9 11.0 3.8 1.0 1.0 0.2 5.0 12.0 0.0 4 1.0 5.5 31.2 42.1 75.0 0.69 42.7 39.6
Jaden Lodice - 1 26.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 205 15.8 87.4 66.7 50.0 0 3.44 83.3 83.3
Breanna Sommers - 1 26.0 10.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 8.0 155 11.1 76.4 44.4 50.0 0 3.3 55.6 55.6
Nailea Green - 13 21.1 7.3 7.4 0.3 0.7 0.4 2.8 6.8 6.5 -37 -2.1 -19.5 43.2 0 43.2 -2.08 44.2 43.2
Natalie Doan - 1 14.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 2.0 101 8.4 176.8 37.5 33.3 0 -0.52 43.8 43.8
Michaela Ligon - 12 24.6 6.7 6.5 0.8 1.2 0.4 2.1 6.2 7.3 33 2.2 8.7 41.3 0.0 81.8 1.68 47.2 41.3
Ashley Marrocco - 14 17.4 5.9 1.6 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.4 7.2 0.2 -19 -1.1 -7.1 27.7 27.0 50.0 -1.92 38.6 37.6
Angelina Escobinas - 14 23.9 5.9 2.4 2.6 1.6 0.0 2.9 6.6 3.1 -1 -0.1 -0.3 33.7 34.3 75.0 -0.16 42.7 40.2
Grace Giacinto - 13 15.7 4.5 3.1 1.6 1.3 0.1 3.5 4.7 2.4 -6 -0.4 -3.9 39.3 15.4 53.3 -0.04 42.9 41.0
Julia Angeles - 14 23.5 4.3 5.5 1.1 1.1 0.3 2.2 5.4 4.6 -36 -1.9 -9.5 30.3 9.1 76.5 0.97 35.9 30.9
Caily Salon - 2 1.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 0.66 100.0 100.0
Sophia Madalakis - 8 6.6 2.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 3.1 -51 -4.6 -275.1 52.9 0 62.5 0.0 56.0 52.9
AB Burnett - 14 14.1 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.0 2.9 2.9 -0.1 -72 -3.8 -93.4 34.1 27.3 71.4 0.85 44.2 41.5
Alexa Zephirin - 14 9.5 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.6 2.1 1.7 -1 -0.1 -1.8 46.7 0.0 50.0 -0.97 48.6 46.7
Jadamarie Henry - 10 7.4 2.6 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 3.0 1.9 1 0.1 1.3 40.0 0 33.3 1.68 39.8 40.0
Cevyn Crutcher - 1 29.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 168 14.0 141.8 20.0 0 0 0.46 20.0 20.0
Olivia Dutzer - 10 10.0 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.2 2.0 2.2 -53 -4.1 -43.2 25.0 33.3 60.0 -3.8 38.3 35.0
Alissa Zephirin - 7 4.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1 -0.1 -7 -0.9 -66.4 50.0 0 50.0 0.75 50.7 50.0
Kyla McLean - 13 11.5 1.3 2.6 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.9 1.8 2.8 -11 -0.6 -6.9 20.8 0.0 31.8 0.09 25.2 20.8
Hailey Shalor - 13 5.6 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.6 -14 -0.9 -27.1 19.0 0.0 75.0 -0.32 24.2 19.0
Lexi Tucker - 5 4.8 0.6 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.8 6 1.2 31.6 50.0 0 50.0 1.14 52.1 50.0
Valentina Errichiello - 5 2.9 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.8 17 4.2 139.2 100.0 0 0 0.65 100.0 100.0
Sofia Marcos - 5 4.9 0.4 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.4 13 2.6 106.5 16.7 0.0 0 0.65 16.7 16.7
Casey Mulvey - 3 1.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tatum Carney - 1 19.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 118 9.1 69.1 0.0 0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG