Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#253) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1072 (#197) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1019 (#300) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.9 (#204) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.993 (#156) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.911 (#175) | AdjNet +20.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.917 (#169) | AdjNet +20.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.808 (#171) | AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.626 (#176) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.733 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.714 (#184) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1142 (#109) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Cairn | W | 83 - 65 |
| 2024-01-02 | vs | Clarks Summit | W | 95 - 37 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Bryn Athyn | W | 88 - 55 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Ellis | - | 3 | 18.7 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 56.5 | 50.0 | 72.7 | - | 62.9 | 58.7 |
| Troy Hupstead | - | 3 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 10.3 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 20.0 | 63.6 | - | 62.9 | 60.5 |
| Toby Nnadozie | - | 3 | 18.3 | 9.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 5.7 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 25.0 | 85.7 | - | 70.8 | 65.6 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo | - | 3 | 14.0 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 61.1 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 65.8 | 66.7 |
| Chace Davis | - | 3 | 24.3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 36.0 | 26.7 | 66.7 | - | 45.6 | 44.0 |
| Malang Athian | - | 3 | 13.7 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 56.2 | 44.4 | 0 | - | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Tyler Mack | - | 3 | 14.3 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -5 | -1.2 | -29.1 | 38.9 | 43.8 | 0 | -0.59 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Damani Claxton | - | 3 | 21.0 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 33.3 | 80.0 | - | 66.9 | 62.5 |
| Israel Yaw | - | 3 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 68.7 | 66.7 |
| Elijah Wilson | - | 3 | 11.7 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 26 | 6.5 | 15.7 | 36.8 | 20.0 | 0 | 1.11 | 39.5 | 39.5 |
| Antwan Wilson | - | 3 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 57 | 7.1 | 34.5 | 54.5 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.98 | 68.2 | 68.2 |
| Victory Naboya | - | 3 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 80.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Dionte Johnson | - | 3 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 23 | 2.1 | 48.8 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.65 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG