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UMES

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2018 2017 2014
Also known as: UMES
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1031 (#253) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1072 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1019 (#300) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +11.9 (#204) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.993 (#156) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.1 More → 0.911 (#175) AdjNet +20.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.2 More → 0.917 (#169) AdjNet +20.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.808 (#171) AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.626 (#176) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.733 (#169) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.714 (#185) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1142 (#116) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-13 vs Bryn Athyn W 91 - 42
2021-11-17 vs Hood - Preview
2021-12-08 vs Clarks Summit W 102 - 58
2021-12-11 vs St. Mary's (MD) W 79 - 43

2022 Roster

No roster data available for this season.