🐻⬇️🏀

UMES

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2018 2017 2014
Also known as: UMES
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1031 (#253) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1072 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1019 (#300) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +11.9 (#204) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.993 (#156) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.1 More → 0.911 (#175) AdjNet +20.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.2 More → 0.917 (#169) AdjNet +20.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.808 (#171) AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.626 (#176) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.733 (#169) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.714 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1142 (#109) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-29 vs Gwynedd Mercy W 84 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joseph Locandro - 1 20.5 19.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 12.0 - - - 56.2 20.0 0 - 59.4 59.4
Dorion Staples - 1 25.8 14.0 8.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 22.0 - - - 71.4 75.0 100.0 - 94.1 92.9
Christopher Flippin - 1 15.8 10.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 83.3 0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Jaden Cooper - 1 27.2 9.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 17.0 132 6.3 68.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 -0.21 116.0 116.7
Justin Monden - 1 13.9 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 60.0 33.3 0 - 70.0 70.0
Maurio Hanson Jr. - 1 4.7 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 2 1.0 4.1 66.7 50.0 0 -0.0 83.3 83.3
Michael Teal - 1 14.4 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 25.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Maurice Vassel - 1 6.4 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 72.7 66.7
Zion Obanla - 1 15.4 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Javoy Thompson - 1 14.2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -18 -0.9 -8.3 66.7 0 0 0.38 66.7 66.7
Levi Beckwith - 1 15.3 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Trey Hall - 1 11.3 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 28 1.8 9.6 0.0 0.0 0 -2.46 0.0 0.0
Jaden Johnson - 1 15.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3 0.2 1.9 0.0 0 0 2.69 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG