Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#305) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1061 (#226) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1011 (#355) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +30.8 (#55) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#56) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.984 (#62) | AdjNet +35.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.986 (#63) | AdjNet +35.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.944 (#35) | AdjO 95.7 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.730 (#79) | AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.896 (#32) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.859 (#35) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 102 - 52 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cougar Downing | - | 1 | 17.6 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 71.4 | 100.0 | - | 107.0 | 106.2 |
| Josh Odunowo | - | 1 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 68.9 | 70.0 |
| Daylon Dickerson | - | 1 | 14.3 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 80.0 | - | 73.2 | 66.7 |
| Ace Valentine | - | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | - | 1 | 15.1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| DJ Armstrong | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jake Stout | - | 1 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 90.1 | 87.5 |
| Caden Diggs | - | 1 | 17.6 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Jah'Likai King | - | 1 | 28.9 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Riley Jacobs | - | 1 | 17.9 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Tim Eze | - | 1 | 13.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 54.3 | 0.0 |
| Saahil Thakkar | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG