UMBC
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 825 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 864 (#249) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 925 (#245) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.4 (#228) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.7 (#238) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.452 (#177) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.252 (#227) | AdjNet -9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.249 (#228) | AdjNet -9.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.388 (#219) | AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.448 (#199) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.317 (#244) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.327 (#241) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 840 (#254) | RD 151 | GP 28 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Coppin State | W | 72 - 58 |
| 1999-11-20 | N | Loyola (MD) | L | 71 - 77 |
| 1999-12-01 | @ | Dayton | L | 60 - 83 |
| 1999-12-04 | @ | Rutgers | L | 48 - 65 |
| 1999-12-10 | vs | Drexel | W | 71 - 57 |
| 1999-12-12 | vs | George Mason | L | 62 - 63 |
| 1999-12-18 | @ | Towson | W | 64 - 56 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Maryland | L | 52 - 82 |
| 2000-01-03 | @ | Navy | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | FDU | W | 85 - 49 |
| 2000-01-10 | @ | Monmouth | L | 57 - 58 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Robert Morris | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2000-01-17 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2000-01-19 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | Sacred Heart | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2000-01-24 | vs | Wagner | L | 78 - 90 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2000-01-31 | @ | Robert Morris | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Quinnipiac | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Central Connecticut State | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Long Island University | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2000-02-15 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | L | 49 - 53 |
| 2000-02-17 | @ | Wagner | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Sacred Heart | W | 77 - 49 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | FDU | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Monmouth | L | 40 - 49 |
| 2000-03-03 | N | Central Connecticut State | L | 55 - 63 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.