UMBC
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 662 (#282) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 754 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 865 (#272) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.9 (#260) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.9 (#271) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.237 (#253) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.150 (#263) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.148 (#261) | AdjNet -15.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.282 (#261) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 80.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.333 (#261) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.215 (#273) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.223 (#274) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 724 (#279) | RD 156 | GP 26 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-02 | @ | Maryland | L | 80 - 89 |
| 1993-12-04 | vs | Robert Morris | L | 76 - 78 |
| 1993-12-10 | @ | California | L | 48 - 80 |
| 1993-12-11 | N | Princeton | L | 55 - 67 |
| 1993-12-30 | vs | Xavier | L | 66 - 92 |
| 1994-01-04 | vs | Drexel | L | 67 - 81 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | Liberty | L | 79 - 89 |
| 1994-01-10 | @ | Radford | L | 70 - 78 |
| 1994-01-13 | @ | Loyola (MD) | L | 57 - 69 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 92 - 84 |
| 1994-01-17 | vs | Coastal Carolina | W | 86 - 81 |
| 1994-01-19 | @ | Towson | L | 78 - 89 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | UNC Greensboro | L | 68 - 69 |
| 1994-01-24 | @ | Campbell | L | 67 - 77 |
| 1994-01-27 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 78 - 68 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Winthrop | W | 78 - 75 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Liberty | L | 64 - 75 |
| 1994-02-07 | vs | Radford | L | 81 - 91 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 88 - 105 |
| 1994-02-14 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 64 - 74 |
| 1994-02-17 | vs | Towson | L | 79 - 86 |
| 1994-02-19 | vs | UNC Greensboro | L | 63 - 80 |
| 1994-02-21 | vs | Campbell | L | 72 - 83 |
| 1994-02-24 | @ | UNC Asheville | W | 73 - 61 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Winthrop | L | 72 - 78 |
| 1994-03-04 | N | Radford | L | 78 - 81 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.