Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1079 (#184) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1009 (#369) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.5 (#208) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.994 (#146) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.994 (#96) | AdjNet +44.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.995 (#100) | AdjNet +43.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.921 (#111) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 49.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.615 (#214) | AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.724 (#188) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.694 (#221) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1069 (#228) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-20 | vs | Texas Lutheran | W | 70 - 36 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breelyn Sanborn | - | 1 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 72.2 | 72.2 |
| Raimi McCrary | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.32 | 69.9 | 75.0 |
| Chloe Storer | - | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 84.0 | 66.7 |
| Destiny Terrell | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 52.4 | 40.0 |
| Brenna Perez | - | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Myra Bell | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.27 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jorja Elliott | - | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Nina De Leon Negron | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Paloma Simón | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.5 | - | 33.2 | 0.0 |
| Mallory McQuietor | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.4 | 39.9 | 0.0 |
| Sophia Griego | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Kaylee Howell | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Aliyah Collins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -2.4 | -6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Hanna Wheeler | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Destiny Whitaker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG