Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1043 (#142) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1059 (#170) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1016 (#271) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +21.4 (#79) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.943 (#159) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.938 (#167) | AdjNet +23.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.943 (#169) | AdjNet +23.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.789 (#177) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 52.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.579 (#197) | AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.793 (#109) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#110) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1172 (#58) | RD 322 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-16 | vs | St. Edward's | W | 57 - 49 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina De Leon Negron | - | 1 | 35.0 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 40.0 | 75.0 | - | 58.8 | 54.5 |
| Jorja Elliott | - | 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 23.5 | 16.7 | 40.0 | - | 31.2 | 29.4 |
| Brenna Perez | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 62.8 | 64.3 |
| Destiny Terrell | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.11 | 60.1 | 57.1 |
| Raimi McCrary | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Chloe Storer | - | 1 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 25.8 | 33.3 |
| Myra Bell | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | -4 | -0.6 | -4.5 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.09 | 14.5 | 16.7 |
| Kaylee Howell | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -13 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Paloma Simón | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aliyah Collins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia Griego | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mallory McQuietor | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hanna Wheeler | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Breelyn Sanborn | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Destiny Whitaker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG