Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#219) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1025 (#263) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +35.2 (#37) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#59) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.994 (#27) | AdjNet +44.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.995 (#30) | AdjNet +43.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.962 (#20) | AdjO 95.3 | AdjD 59.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.789 (#34) | AdjO 83.6 | AdjD 69.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.924 (#16) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.894 (#20) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1112 (#159) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Aungst | - | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -7 | -3.5 | -55.1 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.73 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Cristian Rodriguez | - | 1 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 54 | 3.6 | 30.4 | 44.4 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.89 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Santana Arroyo | - | 1 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Dylan Mackey | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -3.0 | -97 | -16.2 | -50.4 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.74 | 23.0 | 20.0 |
| Liam Dawdy | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Kamden Ross | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | -97 | -16.2 | -48.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 18.4 | 20.0 |
| Ethan To | - | 1 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 36.8 | 30.0 |
| Christian Caldwell | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Beau Cervantes | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -98 | -19.6 | -49.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.75 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Justin Gooden | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Rodney Hunter | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 23.1 | 0.0 |
| Damian Maldonado | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -3.0 | -36.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.63 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jalen Ned | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Carson Diamond | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cristian Guajardo | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Anello Hill-Zanoni | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mario Johnson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23 | 1.9 | 606.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Mateus Reichert Blume | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Robertson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradley Russell | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marcus Villarreal | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Blake Washington | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG