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UIC

Also known as: UIC Flames
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 897 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 856 (#252) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 936 (#233) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -3.9 (#195) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -2.4 (#182) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.322 (#235) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.7 More โ†’ 0.368 (#186) AdjNet -4.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.7 More โ†’ 0.367 (#186) AdjNet -4.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 69.2 More โ†’ 0.412 (#200) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 69.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.426 (#218) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.393 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.395 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 30 More โ†’ 918 (#209) RD 146 | GP 30

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-19 vs Norfolk State W 89 - 69
1999-11-23 vs Oregon L 58 - 65
1999-11-27 vs Central Michigan L 75 - 78
1999-11-30 vs IU Indy W 70 - 65
1999-12-02 @ Northern Illinois L 57 - 63
1999-12-04 vs Saint Francis (PA) W 69 - 65
1999-12-07 @ Chicago State L 61 - 69
1999-12-11 vs Southern Illinois L 58 - 65
1999-12-16 @ Florida International L 52 - 59
1999-12-21 N Charlotte L 61 - 87
1999-12-22 N Boston College L 62 - 67
1999-12-30 vs Illinois State W 61 - 59
2000-01-03 @ Drake L 60 - 64
2000-01-06 vs Detroit Mercy W 70 - 58
2000-01-08 vs Cleveland State L 89 - 91
2000-01-13 @ Milwaukee L 64 - 82
2000-01-15 @ Green Bay L 52 - 78
2000-01-17 @ UNC Wilmington L 52 - 54
2000-01-22 @ Loyola (IL) L 80 - 86
2000-01-27 vs Butler L 46 - 75
2000-01-29 vs Wright State W 69 - 51
2000-02-03 @ Cleveland State L 73 - 85
2000-02-05 @ Detroit Mercy L 55 - 73
2000-02-10 vs Green Bay W 59 - 44
2000-02-12 vs Milwaukee W 81 - 75
2000-02-19 vs Loyola (IL) W 81 - 72
2000-02-24 @ Wright State L 52 - 72
2000-02-26 @ Butler L 60 - 84
2000-03-04 vs Cleveland State W 70 - 54
2000-03-05 vs Detroit Mercy L 72 - 80

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.