UIC
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 897 (#201) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 856 (#252) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 936 (#233) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -3.9 (#195) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.4 (#182) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.322 (#235) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.368 (#186) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.367 (#186) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.412 (#200) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.426 (#218) | AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.393 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.395 (#208) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 918 (#209) | RD 146 | GP 30 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | vs | Norfolk State | W | 89 - 69 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Oregon | L | 58 - 65 |
| 1999-11-27 | vs | Central Michigan | L | 75 - 78 |
| 1999-11-30 | vs | IU Indy | W | 70 - 65 |
| 1999-12-02 | @ | Northern Illinois | L | 57 - 63 |
| 1999-12-04 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 69 - 65 |
| 1999-12-07 | @ | Chicago State | L | 61 - 69 |
| 1999-12-11 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 58 - 65 |
| 1999-12-16 | @ | Florida International | L | 52 - 59 |
| 1999-12-21 | N | Charlotte | L | 61 - 87 |
| 1999-12-22 | N | Boston College | L | 62 - 67 |
| 1999-12-30 | vs | Illinois State | W | 61 - 59 |
| 2000-01-03 | @ | Drake | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2000-01-06 | vs | Detroit Mercy | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Cleveland State | L | 89 - 91 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Milwaukee | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Green Bay | L | 52 - 78 |
| 2000-01-17 | @ | UNC Wilmington | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Loyola (IL) | L | 80 - 86 |
| 2000-01-27 | vs | Butler | L | 46 - 75 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Wright State | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Cleveland State | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Detroit Mercy | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Green Bay | W | 59 - 44 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Milwaukee | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Loyola (IL) | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2000-02-24 | @ | Wright State | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Butler | L | 60 - 84 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | Cleveland State | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2000-03-05 | vs | Detroit Mercy | L | 72 - 80 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.