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UConn

Also known as: UConn Huskies, UConn
Program History

Model Outputs

1990-1991
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1304 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1210 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More โ†’ 1091 (#52) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ +16.5 (#16) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +17.4 (#11) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.782 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.5 More โ†’ 0.914 (#17) AdjNet +20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.9 More โ†’ 0.919 (#16) AdjNet +20.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 61.4 More โ†’ 0.792 (#18) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 62.6 More โ†’ 0.723 (#17) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.822 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.811 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1215 (#33) RD 95 | GP 30

1991 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1990-11-27 vs Hartford W 90 - 63
1990-11-29 @ Yale W 49 - 48
1990-12-06 @ North Carolina L 64 - 79
1990-12-09 @ Maine W 85 - 60
1990-12-12 vs New Hampshire W 85 - 32
1990-12-23 vs Fairfield W 94 - 70
1990-12-28 vs Lafayette W 59 - 57
1990-12-29 vs Rhode Island W 90 - 69
1991-01-02 @ Boston College W 96 - 70
1991-01-05 vs Pittsburgh W 81 - 76
1991-01-08 @ Villanova W 74 - 71
1991-01-10 vs Central Connecticut State W 115 - 47
1991-01-13 vs St. John's (NY) L 59 - 72
1991-01-16 @ Syracuse L 79 - 81
1991-01-19 vs Providence L 102 - 108
1991-01-22 @ St. John's (NY) L 62 - 65
1991-01-26 @ Seton Hall L 62 - 76
1991-01-28 vs Syracuse L 66 - 68
1991-02-02 vs Villanova W 67 - 59
1991-02-05 vs Boston College W 76 - 59
1991-02-11 vs Georgetown W 61 - 55
1991-02-16 vs NC State L 59 - 60
1991-02-19 @ Providence W 70 - 66
1991-02-23 @ Georgetown L 57 - 71
1991-02-27 vs Seton Hall W 62 - 60
1991-03-02 @ Pittsburgh W 78 - 68
1991-03-07 N Georgetown L 49 - 68
1991-03-14 N Louisiana State W 79 - 62
1991-03-16 N Xavier W 66 - 50
1991-03-22 N Duke L 67 - 81

1991 Roster

No roster data available for this season.