UCLA
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 1414 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 1264 (#21) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 1127 (#28) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | +13.8 (#28) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | +11.3 (#44) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.742 (#43) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.889 (#31) | AdjNet +18.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.890 (#32) | AdjNet +18.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.759 (#30) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.657 (#47) | AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.803 (#25) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.787 (#28) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 1273 (#17) | RD 112 | GP 31 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-20 | N | Santa Clara | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1995-11-21 | N | Wisconsin | W | 68 - 57 |
| 1995-11-22 | N | Vanderbilt | L | 71 - 75 |
| 1995-11-28 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 79 - 63 |
| 1995-12-02 | @ | Kansas | L | 70 - 85 |
| 1995-12-09 | N | Maryland | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1995-12-18 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 109 - 88 |
| 1995-12-20 | @ | Notre Dame | W | 83 - 58 |
| 1995-12-23 | @ | NevadaβLas Vegas | W | 89 - 82 |
| 1995-12-30 | vs | San Francisco | W | 92 - 58 |
| 1996-01-04 | @ | Washington State | W | 78 - 73 |
| 1996-01-06 | @ | Washington | W | 78 - 70 |
| 1996-01-11 | vs | Stanford | W | 64 - 56 |
| 1996-01-13 | vs | California | W | 93 - 73 |
| 1996-01-18 | @ | Arizona State | W | 87 - 73 |
| 1996-01-20 | @ | Arizona | L | 79 - 88 |
| 1996-01-24 | vs | Southern California | W | 99 - 72 |
| 1996-01-27 | vs | Louisville | L | 76 - 78 |
| 1996-02-01 | vs | Oregon | W | 85 - 78 |
| 1996-02-03 | vs | Oregon State | W | 69 - 60 |
| 1996-02-08 | @ | California | W | 73 - 65 |
| 1996-02-10 | @ | Stanford | L | 66 - 67 |
| 1996-02-15 | vs | Arizona | W | 76 - 75 |
| 1996-02-17 | vs | Arizona State | W | 87 - 70 |
| 1996-02-22 | @ | Southern California | W | 61 - 59 |
| 1996-02-25 | @ | Duke | L | 66 - 85 |
| 1996-02-29 | @ | Oregon State | W | 68 - 66 |
| 1996-03-02 | @ | Oregon | W | 77 - 71 |
| 1996-03-07 | vs | Washington | W | 91 - 88 |
| 1996-03-09 | vs | Washington State | W | 82 - 71 |
| 1996-03-14 | N | Princeton | L | 41 - 43 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.