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UCLA

Also known as: UCLA Bruins, UCLA
Program History

Model Outputs

1995-1996
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1414 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1264 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More β†’ 1127 (#28) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More β†’ +13.8 (#28) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More β†’ +11.3 (#44) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.742 (#43) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.0 More β†’ 0.889 (#31) AdjNet +18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.2 More β†’ 0.890 (#32) AdjNet +18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 66.5 More β†’ 0.759 (#30) AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 68.5 More β†’ 0.657 (#47) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.803 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.787 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 31 More β†’ 1273 (#17) RD 112 | GP 31

1996 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1995-11-20 N Santa Clara L 69 - 78
1995-11-21 N Wisconsin W 68 - 57
1995-11-22 N Vanderbilt L 71 - 75
1995-11-28 vs Cal State Fullerton W 79 - 63
1995-12-02 @ Kansas L 70 - 85
1995-12-09 N Maryland W 73 - 63
1995-12-18 vs Stephen F. Austin W 109 - 88
1995-12-20 @ Notre Dame W 83 - 58
1995-12-23 @ Nevada–Las Vegas W 89 - 82
1995-12-30 vs San Francisco W 92 - 58
1996-01-04 @ Washington State W 78 - 73
1996-01-06 @ Washington W 78 - 70
1996-01-11 vs Stanford W 64 - 56
1996-01-13 vs California W 93 - 73
1996-01-18 @ Arizona State W 87 - 73
1996-01-20 @ Arizona L 79 - 88
1996-01-24 vs Southern California W 99 - 72
1996-01-27 vs Louisville L 76 - 78
1996-02-01 vs Oregon W 85 - 78
1996-02-03 vs Oregon State W 69 - 60
1996-02-08 @ California W 73 - 65
1996-02-10 @ Stanford L 66 - 67
1996-02-15 vs Arizona W 76 - 75
1996-02-17 vs Arizona State W 87 - 70
1996-02-22 @ Southern California W 61 - 59
1996-02-25 @ Duke L 66 - 85
1996-02-29 @ Oregon State W 68 - 66
1996-03-02 @ Oregon W 77 - 71
1996-03-07 vs Washington W 91 - 88
1996-03-09 vs Washington State W 82 - 71
1996-03-14 N Princeton L 41 - 43

1996 Roster

No roster data available for this season.