UCF
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1093 (#114) | Preseason prior 1039 (returning production + recruiting): last season 989, returning -67, transfers +116, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1049 (#121) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1049 (#121) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.6 (#173) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.6 (#173) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.775 (#98) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.565 (#136) | AdjNet +3.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.598 (#129) | AdjNet +4.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.523 (#153) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.524 (#152) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#138) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.567 (#138) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#103) | RD 156 | GP 5 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.597 (#125) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Florida A&M Rattlers | W | 85 - 56 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Florida Gators | L | 65 - 95 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | South Alabama Jaguars | W | 85 - 59 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Austin Peay Governors | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Le Moyne Dolphins | W | 77 - 44 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | North Florida Ospreys | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Stetson Hatters | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mahogany Chandler-Roberts
|
F | 5 | 30.8 | 15.8 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 12.0 | 11.4 | 58 | 5 | 11.6 | 15.1 | 51.7 | 40.0 | 73.3 | 2.92 | 59.3 | 56.7 |
Vittoria Blasigh
|
G | 5 | 33.6 | 13.4 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 10.2 | 54 | 5 | 10.8 | 12.9 | 51.1 | 40.0 | 91.7 | 0.94 | 66.6 | 62.2 |
Mikayla Johnson
|
G | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 13 | 1 | 13.0 | 18.4 | 31.2 | 28.6 | 33.3 | -2.09 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Caitlyn Jones
|
G | 5 | 28.2 | 11.4 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 32 | 5 | 6.4 | 9.1 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.3 | 59.6 | 53.8 |
Key Roseby
|
G | 5 | 26.0 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 9.8 | 6.2 | 42 | 5 | 8.4 | 13.0 | 40.8 | 41.9 | 66.7 | -0.68 | 55.2 | 54.1 |
Candace Kpetikou
|
C | 5 | 26.6 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.2 | 38 | 5 | 7.6 | 11.5 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.77 | 62.9 | 64.0 |
Nyla McFadden
|
G | 5 | 19.8 | 6.6 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 8.2 | 27 | 5 | 5.4 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 84.6 | -0.36 | 59.5 | 50.0 |
Kya Hurt
|
G | 3 | 11.3 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 22 | 3 | 7.3 | 25.0 | 37.5 | 75.0 | 75.0 | -0.22 | 61.5 | 56.2 |
Jasmynne Gibson
|
F | 5 | 16.8 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 22 | 5 | 4.4 | 10.4 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -2.83 | 60.0 | 54.5 |
Jabria Lindsey
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.26 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Salome Boyomo Keedi
|
F | 2 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 28.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Maria Cintas
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
F. Schölander
|
G | 3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former UCF players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last UCF game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
1 player-league average(s) withheld while source season, phase, finality or game identity remains unresolved.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cannon | - | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | - | - | - | - | - | 09-22 0 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | no games |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Emma Cannon | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | @ Las Vegas Aces | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-09-20 | Emma Cannon | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | vs Portland Fire | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-08-22 | Emma Cannon | WNBA | Los Angeles Sparks | vs Connecticut Sun | 12 | 3 | 5 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
281 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Mahogany Chandler-RobertsVittoria BlasighKey RosebyCaitlyn JonesCandace Kpetikou
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 58-88 | 65.9 | 116 | Mahogany Chandler-Roberts 28% (32 pts) | Caitlyn Jones 21% (24 pts) | Mahogany Chandler-Roberts 33% (10 misses) | Candace Kpetikou 17% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 38-73 | 52.1 | 76 | Candace Kpetikou 34% (26 pts) | Caitlyn Jones 24% (18 pts) | Caitlyn Jones 26% (9 misses) | Key Roseby 17% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Caitlyn Jones 40% (2 misses) | Vittoria Blasigh 40% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-8 | 12.5 | 2 | Vittoria Blasigh 100% (2 pts) | - | Vittoria Blasigh 43% (3 misses) | Kya Hurt 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-12 | 50.0 | 12 | Vittoria Blasigh 67% (8 pts) | Mahogany Chandler-Roberts 17% (2 pts) | Mahogany Chandler-Roberts 67% (4 misses) | Caitlyn Jones 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Key Roseby 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 11-29 | 37.9 | 33 | Key Roseby 45% (15 pts) | Kya Hurt 18% (6 pts) | Key Roseby 22% (4 misses) | Mahogany Chandler-Roberts 22% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-24 | 20.8 | 15 | Vittoria Blasigh 60% (9 pts) | Mahogany Chandler-Roberts 40% (6 pts) | Vittoria Blasigh 42% (8 misses) | Key Roseby 21% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 18-41 | 43.9 | 54 | Key Roseby 44% (24 pts) | Vittoria Blasigh 33% (18 pts) | Key Roseby 39% (9 misses) | Vittoria Blasigh 17% (4 misses) |