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UC Santa Cruz

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2020 2016
Also known as: UC Santa Cruz
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 982 (#309) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 955 (#343) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 962 (#542) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -11.8 (#534) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.246 (#469) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.0 More → 0.500 (#277) NetEff +0.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.8 More → 0.204 (#526) AdjNet -11.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.5 More → 0.206 (#523) AdjNet -11.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.323 (#527) AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 72.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.485 (#399) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.348 (#488) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.383 (#469) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 854 (#430) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-25 vs Menlo L 80 - 87
2025-12-02 vs UC Merced W 79 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emilie Ngo - 2 40.0 18.5 6.5 7.5 2.0 0.0 5.0 20.0 9.5 - - - 30.0 0.0 81.2 - 39.3 30.0
Alexa Litchev - 1 22.8 16.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 9.0 - - - 36.4 0.0 72.7 - 50.5 36.4
Sarah Reuter - 2 38.1 15.5 11.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 2.5 10.5 15.5 - - - 61.9 0 41.7 - 59.0 61.9
Claire Galbo - 2 34.0 14.5 5.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 9.5 9.5 - - - 42.1 50.0 85.7 - 65.7 60.5
Alyssa Jackson - 2 36.0 11.5 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 12.5 4.0 61 2.9 21.0 28.0 29.4 100.0 0.82 43.0 38.0
Bria Tate - 2 23.7 6.5 2.5 1.5 2.0 0.0 1.5 7.0 4.0 - - - 35.7 33.3 100.0 - 45.0 42.9
Danielle Tyner - 2 28.2 5.0 9.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 4.0 11.5 - - - 62.5 0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Lia Papador - 2 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG