UC Merced
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 780 (#517) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 857 (#476) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 848 (#654) | - |
| Margin | -1.9 (#196) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency | -11.3 (#526) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean | 0.093 (#540) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.219 (#509) | AdjO 94.5 | AdjD 105.5 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.221 (#511) | AdjO 92.0 | AdjD 102.7 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.321 (#533) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.298 (#614) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.214 (#590) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.220 (#593) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.126 (#554) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 787 (#472) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Fresno Pacific | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 70 - 84 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Chaminade | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 80 - 93 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 58 - 100 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Chico St. | L | 54 - 88 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 55 - 94 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 40 - 53 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | CSUSB | L | 54 - 58 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | UC Riverside | L | 52 - 93 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 75 - 96 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 89 - 90 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | San Fran. St. | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Stanislaus St. | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Stanislaus St. | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Chico St. | L | 73 - 83 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.