Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 998 (#291) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.8 (#213) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.099 (#526) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.153 (#576) | AdjNet -14.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.157 (#574) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.323 (#533) | AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.594 (#158) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 74.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.650 (#190) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.627 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1080 (#148) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Menlo | L | 71 - 80 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Westmont | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2024-02-13 | vs | Academy of Art | L | 65 - 76 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Espy | - | 5 | 16.4 | 12.2 | 5.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 72.2 | - | 63.6 | 60.0 |
| Zino Okah | - | 5 | 25.6 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 10.8 | 3.4 | - | - | - | 29.6 | 23.3 | 62.5 | - | 40.1 | 36.1 |
| Tyler Kessinger | - | 5 | 23.6 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 34.2 | 38.1 | 100.0 | - | 48.5 | 44.7 |
| Ian McCloskey | - | 5 | 23.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 8.0 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 32.5 | 22.2 | 76.9 | - | 41.6 | 35.0 |
| Caden Breznikar | - | 5 | 26.0 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 40.6 | 54.5 | 44.4 | - | 50.1 | 50.0 |
| Treyson Keating | - | 5 | 22.6 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 43.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 44.7 | 43.3 |
| Nelson Etuk | - | 5 | 17.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 31.6 | 33.3 |
| Zach Granberry | - | 5 | 17.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 30.0 | 100.0 | - | 44.4 | 40.6 |
| Ryan Wilson | - | 5 | 20.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 2.4 | -42 | -8.4 | -24.0 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 0 | 0.34 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| GianCarlo Toledo-Rivera | - | 4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.0 | 41.7 |
| Thomas Lawrence | - | 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Jack Anderson | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 19 | 4.8 | 40.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| David Moon | - | 5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jack Morris | - | 5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 46 | 5.8 | 60.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Justin Yasukochi | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Brookes | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Burrows | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG