🐻⬇️🏀

UC San Diego

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: UC San Diego
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1011 (#231) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1061 (#217) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 980 (#356) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1045 (#195) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +4.7 (#141) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +14.9 (#158) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#116) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.358 (#514) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +59.4 More → 0.999 (#45) AdjNet +59.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.1 More → 0.561 (#362) AdjNet +2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +58.2 More → 0.999 (#50) AdjNet +58.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.0 More → 0.559 (#361) AdjNet +2.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2 More → 0.969 (#54) AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.523 (#359) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 54.5 More → 0.784 (#68) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 54.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.762 (#158) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.765 (#150) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 126 | GP 23 More → 1082 (#206) RD 126 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Cal Poly L 27 - 87
2025-11-08 @ Wilmington (OH) W 65 - 47
2025-11-09 vs Chris. Newport L 54 - 64
2025-11-14 @ Whittier L 50 - 51
2025-11-15 @ La Verne W 77 - 61
2025-11-17 @ Claremont-M-S L 49 - 60
2025-11-24 vs Occidental W 87 - 39
2025-11-25 vs Menlo L 80 - 87
2025-11-28 vs Willamette W 72 - 45
2025-11-29 vs Cal Lutheran W 64 - 47
2025-11-29 vs Willamette L 61 - 72
2025-12-02 vs UC Merced W 79 - 72
2025-12-13 @ Caltech W 67 - 57
2025-12-14 @ Cal Lutheran L 42 - 61
2025-12-17 vs Agnes Scott W 112 - 39
2025-12-17 @ Whitworth W 67 - 62
2025-12-29 @ UMass Dartmouth W 64 - 42
2025-12-30 @ Babson L 70 - 72
2026-01-10 @ Cal Maritime W 84 - 62
2026-01-13 @ Simpson (CA) W 78 - 39
2026-02-05 vs Simpson (CA) W 74 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hannah Wickstrom - 1 34.9 30.0 14.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 38.0 - - - 69.2 33.3 68.8 - 74.9 73.1
Aubrie Kierscht - 1 16.8 23.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 15.0 - - - 61.5 70.0 0 - 88.5 88.5
Sabrina Ma - 1 26.2 22.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 19.0 - - - 81.8 80.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Erin Condron - 1 22.4 17.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 14.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 68.3 66.7
Emilie Ngo - 14 36.4 16.3 4.4 6.4 2.5 0.3 3.7 13.9 12.3 - - - 42.8 29.1 73.0 - 51.4 46.9
Alexa Litchev - 11 26.7 12.7 7.5 1.4 0.8 0.5 3.2 10.2 9.5 - - - 47.3 30.0 73.8 - 53.6 48.7
Emma Blair - 1 21.2 12.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Kinley Paterson - 1 19.5 12.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 19.0 - - - 75.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Macy Wike - 1 20.4 12.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Claire Galbo - 9 31.5 11.7 5.3 1.2 1.2 0.7 2.3 7.9 9.9 - - - 47.9 47.5 78.3 - 64.7 61.3
Lexi Castator - 1 26.7 11.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 13.0 - - - 66.7 60.0 0 - 91.7 91.7
Rosa Smith - 1 23.1 11.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 15.0 45 2.2 32.4 42.9 25.0 100.0 4.06 62.8 50.0
Makayla Minshall - 1 19.8 11.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 0.0 - - - 41.7 25.0 0.0 - 42.7 45.8
Anna Marshall - 1 30.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 -2.0 -19 -1.1 -23.7 21.4 20.0 50.0 -3.21 31.4 25.0
Te'Niyah Lindsey - 1 29.0 11.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 -4.0 - - - 28.6 0 100.0 - 35.9 28.6
Alyssa Jackson - 15 32.8 9.1 2.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.9 10.6 1.4 72 3.8 23.9 28.3 30.1 75.0 2.1 41.4 39.9
Jessa Troy - 1 20.5 9.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 64.3 64.3
Sarah Reuter - 15 27.9 8.1 6.7 1.5 0.7 0.6 2.9 6.3 8.5 - - - 55.3 0.0 32.7 - 51.8 55.3
Aijah Palmore - 1 14.1 8.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 57.1 0 0.0 - 53.8 57.1
Madison Miller - 1 10.9 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 96 5.1 47.6 66.7 0.0 0 2.85 66.7 66.7
Makayla Rose - 1 24.5 8.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 - - - 37.5 0.0 100.0 - 45.0 37.5
Seneca Hackley - 1 37.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 100.0 - 50.8 42.9
Dymonique Maxie - 1 22.9 7.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 100.0 - 64.3 60.0
Bria Tate - 16 24.2 6.9 2.7 1.4 1.4 0.0 2.1 7.2 3.1 - - - 37.4 25.6 88.2 - 45.3 41.7
Danielle Tyner - 16 22.8 6.7 7.0 1.4 0.3 0.3 1.9 4.6 9.3 - - - 68.5 100.0 60.0 - 69.1 69.2
Jenna Gorton - 4 23.1 6.2 4.5 1.8 0.2 1.2 2.0 6.8 5.2 - - - 29.6 25.0 70.0 - 39.8 33.3
Zoe Richardson - 1 16.7 6.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 14.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Gwen Jenkins - 1 16.1 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Niya Price - 1 10.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Moriah Bowles - 1 32.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 2.0 - - - 22.2 33.3 0 - 33.3 33.3
Tatum Jones - 1 10.1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 -40 -1.9 -9.5 100.0 0 0 1.41 100.0 100.0
Junae Mahan - 1 13.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0.0 - 51.5 66.7
Taylor Swanson - 1 10.8 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Maria Mejia - 1 13.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 42.0 0.0
Zora Fray-Chinn - 1 9.2 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Bria Shine - 1 31.8 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 25.0 - 17.1 14.3
Lupe Lemus - 1 22.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Mariah Napoleon - 1 13.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Cerina Nguyen - 1 15.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 50.0 - 30.7 25.0
Katie Busch - 12 16.9 2.9 2.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.3 3.7 1.5 - - - 29.5 26.7 50.0 - 39.0 38.6
Vera Söderblom - 1 7.8 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Damilola Sule - 1 8.1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Nicki Polocheck - 1 8.4 2.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Lev Feiman - 1 15.2 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Michaela Fairwell - 1 16.2 2.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Shelley Duchemin - 1 3.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Kaylani Polk - 1 27.7 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Angie Iheanachor - 1 19.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Evelyn Sanchez - 3 4.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.3 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Lia Papador - 13 13.0 1.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.0 - - - 26.9 0.0 50.0 - 32.0 26.9
Lucia Moreno Tallon - 1 5.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Dieynaba Sylla - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maya Chocano - 1 12.6 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Monet Dunham - 1 21.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -107 -5.6 -26.5 0.0 0 0 -2.3 0.0 0.0
Harley Wilson - 1 18.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG