UC San Diego
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1011 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1061 (#217) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 980 (#356) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1045 (#195) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#141) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.9 (#158) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#116) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.358 (#514) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#45) | AdjNet +59.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.561 (#362) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#50) | AdjNet +58.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.559 (#361) | AdjNet +2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.969 (#54) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.523 (#359) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.784 (#68) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 54.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.764 (#150) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1066 (#234) | RD 126 | GP 23 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | vs | Oregon Tech | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2018-11-11 | vs | Cal Maritime | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2018-11-17 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2018-11-24 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2018-11-25 | vs | Carleton | W | 65 - 60 |
| 2018-12-02 | vs | Pacific Union | W | 83 - 44 |
| 2018-12-08 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2018-12-09 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 51 - 67 |
| 2018-12-16 | vs | Luther | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2018-12-17 | vs | Redlands | W | 65 - 48 |
| 2018-12-21 | vs | Williams | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2018-12-22 | vs | Northwestern-St. Paul | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2018-12-28 | vs | Grove City | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2018-12-30 | vs | Franklin & Marshall | L | 48 - 62 |
| 2018-12-31 | vs | Worcester St. | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2019-01-18 | @ | St. Katherine | W | 93 - 35 |
| 2019-01-20 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | W | 91 - 63 |
| 2019-01-24 | vs | Pacific Union | W | 75 - 38 |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | St. Katherine | W | 84 - 50 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | La Verne | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2019-02-10 | @ | Westcliff | W | 74 - 46 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Whittier | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2019-02-17 | @ | Bethesda (CA) | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Westcliff | W | 64 - 41 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.