UC San Diego
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1011 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1061 (#217) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 980 (#356) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1045 (#195) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#141) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.9 (#158) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#116) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.358 (#514) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#45) | AdjNet +59.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.561 (#362) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#50) | AdjNet +58.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.559 (#361) | AdjNet +2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.969 (#54) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.523 (#359) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.784 (#68) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 54.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#158) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.765 (#150) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1082 (#206) | RD 126 | GP 23 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | @ | Redlands | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-15 | @ | Occidental | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Concordia-M'head | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-22 | vs | Augustana (IL) | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-27 | vs | Austin | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2015-11-28 | vs | George Fox | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2015-12-04 | vs | Colorado Col. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-06 | vs | Whittier | W | 77 - 50 |
| 2015-12-15 | @ | Caltech | W | 65 - 30 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | Whitworth | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2015-12-20 | vs | Earlham | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2015-12-21 | vs | Chapman | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-27 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2015-12-28 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | L | 49 - 62 |
| 2016-01-15 | vs | Simpson (CA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Cal Maritime | W | 82 - 56 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | UC Merced | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Bethesda (CA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-05 | @ | Simpson (CA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Pacific Union | W | 65 - 42 |
| 2016-02-12 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | William Jessup | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | San Fran. St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Cal Maritime | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-27 | vs | Finlandia | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ | Salem (NC) | - | Preview |
| 2016-03-04 | @ | UT Tyler | L | 64 - 83 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.