UC San Diego
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2015 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1011 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1061 (#217) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 980 (#356) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1045 (#195) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#141) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.9 (#158) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#116) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.358 (#514) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#45) | AdjNet +59.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.561 (#362) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#50) | AdjNet +58.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.559 (#361) | AdjNet +2.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.969 (#54) | AdjO 83.3 | AdjD 45.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.523 (#359) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.784 (#68) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 54.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.762 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.764 (#150) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1066 (#234) | RD 126 | GP 23 |
2015 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-15 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 73 - 47 |
| 2014-11-17 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2014-11-22 | @ | Willamette | W | 73 - 52 |
| 2014-11-23 | @ | Pacific (OR) | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2014-11-28 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 62 - 56 |
| 2014-11-29 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 46 - 52 |
| 2014-12-05 | vs | Puget Sound | L | 51 - 53 |
| 2014-12-06 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2014-12-12 | vs | Whittier | W | 70 - 41 |
| 2014-12-13 | vs | Chapman | W | 64 - 36 |
| 2014-12-14 | vs | Lawrence | W | 57 - 35 |
| 2014-12-21 | vs | Lewis & Clark | W | 66 - 39 |
| 2014-12-23 | vs | Calvin | L | 47 - 72 |
| 2014-12-27 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2014-12-29 | vs | La Sierra | - | Preview |
| 2014-12-30 | vs | Salem St. | W | 75 - 41 |
| 2015-01-01 | @ | La Verne | W | 62 - 48 |
| 2015-01-08 | vs | Westmont | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-15 | vs | Menlo | - | Preview |
| 2015-01-24 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-07 | vs | Bethesda (CA) | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-13 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-15 | @ | Mount Mary | - | Preview |
| 2015-02-21 | vs | Bristol | - | Preview |
2015 Roster
No roster data available for this season.