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UC Riverside

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2021 2014
Also known as: UC Riverside
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1009 (#259) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1037 (#217) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1008 (#322) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +22.3 (#76) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.991 (#120) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.0 More → 0.963 (#133) AdjNet +28.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.8 More → 0.965 (#134) AdjNet +27.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 52.1 More → 0.843 (#128) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 52.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.4 More → 0.789 (#32) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.822 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 265 | GP 1 More → 1075 (#169) RD 265 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-30 vs UC Merced - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.