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UC Riverside

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2021 2014
Also known as: UC Riverside
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1017 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1041 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1008 (#322) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +22.3 (#76) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.991 (#120) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.0 More → 0.963 (#133) AdjNet +28.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.8 More → 0.965 (#134) AdjNet +27.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 52.1 More → 0.843 (#128) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 52.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.4 More → 0.789 (#32) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.822 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 266 | GP 1 More → 1070 (#182) RD 266 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-30 vs UC Merced W 93 - 52

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hannah Wickstrom - 1 21.4 30.0 5.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 27.0 - - - 76.5 66.7 100.0 - 83.9 82.4
Taylor Swanson - 1 21.4 21.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 22.0 - - - 77.8 66.7 71.4 - 86.9 88.9
Seneca Hackley - 1 24.1 19.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 25.0 - - - 63.6 50.0 100.0 - 74.5 68.2
Maya Chocano - 1 18.6 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 75.0 - 35.9 25.0
Makayla Minshall - 1 17.9 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -3.0 - - - 11.1 14.3 100.0 - 25.3 16.7
Kaylani Polk - 1 22.8 3.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 20.0 25.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Maria Mejia - 1 17.2 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 20.0 - 35.7 50.0
Lucia Moreno Tallon - 1 10.4 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Jayda Cobbs - 1 16.6 2.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Bria Shine - 1 18.2 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Dieynaba Sylla - 1 11.4 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG