Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 1037 (#149) | - |
| Margin Recency | -1.2 (#351) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.489 (#328) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.427 (#375) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.452 (#353) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.382 (#351) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 997 (#230) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | L | 67 - 91 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Pacific Union | W | 89 - 50 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Fresno Pacific | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Saint Mary's (CA) | L | 42 - 96 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Chico St. | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | CSUSB | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 80 - 86 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 73 - 92 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | San Fran. St. | W | 92 - 77 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Stanislaus St. | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Stanislaus St. | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 83 - 89 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Chico St. | W | 86 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Merced | - | 2 | 200.0 | 60.5 | 36.5 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 19.5 | 56.0 | 40.5 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 20.0 | 63.2 | - | 47.0 | 43.3 |
| Sterling McClanahan | - | 2 | 34.7 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 34.3 | 26.7 | 62.5 | - | 42.8 | 40.0 |
| Elijah Charles | - | 2 | 25.5 | 11.0 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0 | 28.6 | - | 57.7 | 62.5 |
| Pawllos Habtom | - | 2 | 29.9 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 40.0 | 66.7 | - | 41.6 | 36.8 |
| Austin Dewes | - | 2 | 15.6 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Jon Taylor | - | 2 | 18.6 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 67.2 | 64.3 |
| Jaden Hubbard | - | 2 | 24.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 34.1 | 18.2 |
| Myles Haynes | - | 2 | 14.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 42.7 | 33.3 |
| Jordan Bateman | - | 2 | 14.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Cyprus Graham | - | 2 | 22.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Landon Edmond | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| TEAM | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG