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UC Irvine

Also known as: UC Irvine Anteaters
Program History

2019 Team Stats (13 games)

73.3
PPG
63.5
Opp
+9.8
Margin
48.2%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
73.4%
FT%
38.4
RPG
12.4
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.3
Adj PPG
64.3
Adj Opp PPG
#87
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1237 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1183 (#11) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +6.1 (#90) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +8.7 (#59) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.795 (#32) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.3 More โ†’ 0.744 (#91) AdjNet +9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.3 More โ†’ 0.746 (#91) AdjNet +9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 64.3 More โ†’ 0.633 (#87) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 64.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 64.1 More โ†’ 0.682 (#32) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.747 (#51) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.755 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1255 (#29) RD 111 | GP 36

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Idaho Vandals W 86 - 68
2018-11-09 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 74 - 73
2018-11-12 vs Life Pacific Warriors W 87 - 53
2018-11-15 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 61 - 49
2018-11-19 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 65 - 56
2018-11-20 @ Tulane Green Wave W 67 - 55
2018-11-21 vs Toledo Rockets L 60 - 67
2018-11-28 @ Saint Mary's Gaels W 80 - 75
2018-12-01 vs Utah State Aggies L 65 - 89
2018-12-05 @ California Baptist Lancers W 69 - 66
2018-12-08 vs Montana Grizzlies W 60 - 51
2018-12-15 vs Denver Pioneers W 86 - 52
2018-12-19 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 52 - 48
2018-12-21 @ Butler Bulldogs L 54 - 71
2018-12-29 @ Pacific Tigers L 75 - 84
2019-01-03 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 85 - 74
2019-01-10 vs UC Davis Aggies W 71 - 69
2019-01-12 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 63 - 46
2019-01-16 vs Long Beach State Beach L 70 - 80
2019-01-19 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 74 - 68
2019-01-23 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 75 - 74
2019-01-26 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 82 - 64
2019-01-31 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 66 - 62
2019-02-02 @ Long Beach State Beach W 82 - 80
2019-02-06 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 60 - 53
2019-02-09 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 67 - 56
2019-02-16 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 83 - 70
2019-02-21 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 74 - 47
2019-02-28 @ UC Davis Aggies W 64 - 48
2019-03-02 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 68 - 47
2019-03-07 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 110 - 72
2019-03-09 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 86 - 74
2019-03-14 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 63 - 44
2019-03-15 vs Long Beach State Beach W 75 - 67
2019-03-16 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 92 - 64
2019-03-22 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 70 - 64
2019-03-24 @ Oregon Ducks L 54 - 73

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Max Hazzard Max Hazzard G 36 26.3 12.4 2.0 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.2 4.4 11.6 199 27 7.4 11.4 41.4 36.1 78.9 2.83 128.1 52.5
Evan Leonard Evan Leonard G 31 24.3 11.5 2.5 1.7 1.5 0.2 1.4 3.3 12.7 210 25 8.4 14.3 48.0 35.2 85.7 3.26 144.1 57.4
Collin Welp Collin Welp F 36 15.9 8.7 4.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.1 2.9 10.4 4 27 0.1 0.4 51.9 36.4 73.1 -1.6 135.6 55.8
Robert Cartwright Robert Cartwright G 36 22.3 7.2 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.5 2.9 8.7 111 27 4.1 7.6 39.6 44.1 77.4 0.62 108.2 46.7
Eyassu Worku Eyassu Worku G 31 23.4 7.0 2.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 1.7 2.5 8.4 42 22 1.9 3.4 44.3 40.0 37.5 -2.02 131.5 49.4
Tommy Rutherford Tommy Rutherford F 36 16.9 6.9 4.4 0.6 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.3 9.1 194 27 7.2 16.9 56.1 0.0 73.9 4.6 135.1 56.1
Jonathan Galloway Jonathan Galloway F 36 24.4 6.7 7.8 1.0 0.4 1.1 0.7 1.8 14.5 159 27 5.9 9.8 60.3 0 61.5 0.22 150.9 60.3
John Edgar John Edgar F 26 20.3 6.6 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.2 1.9 7.7 4 19 0.2 0.5 42.9 23.5 50.0 -2.34 158.4 46.9
Elston Jones Elston Jones F 36 19.9 6.0 6.8 0.9 0.4 1.6 1.1 2.0 12.6 51 27 1.9 4.1 54.9 0 57.7 -2.04 130.4 54.9
Darrian Traylor Darrian Traylor G 24 6.2 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.7 14 16 0.9 5.7 20.0 15.4 0 -0.51 146.7 26.7
JC Butler JC Butler F 27 9.6 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.1 28 20 1.4 5.9 66.7 40.0 80.0 -1.24 192.0 77.8
Solomon Ruddell Solomon Ruddell C 18 3.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.8 -2 12 -0.2 -1.8 40.0 0 75.0 -1.92 184.9 40.0
Spencer Rivers Spencer Rivers G 31 9.5 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.7 -24 24 -1.0 -4.7 15.4 16.7 0.0 -4.78 130.2 19.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG