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UC Irvine

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: UC Irvine Anteaters
Program History
Coach: Russ Turner

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

91.5
PPG
72.5
Opp
+19.0
Margin
53.2%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
63.3%
FT%
51.0
RPG
16.5
APG
15.5
TO
74.7
Est. poss./game
73.7
Adj PPG
71.7
Adj Opp PPG
#126
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1030 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1042, returning +13, transfers -35, freshmen +9 More → 1048 (#116) Preseason prior 1030 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1042, returning +13, transfers -35, freshmen +9
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +232 elo More → 1037 (#120) HCA +232 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +232 elo More → 1021 (#123) HCA +232 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.3 More → +3.9 (#114) HCA +1.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.3 More → +3.8 (#115) HCA +1.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.615 (#121) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.7 More → 0.580 (#121) AdjNet +8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.580 (#121) AdjNet +8.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.549 (#126) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.537 (#126) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.580 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.578 (#116) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 216 | GP 1 More → 1051 (#120) RD 216 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.596 (#123) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 vs Chapman Panthers W 92 - 66
2026-11-07 vs San José State Spartans W 91 - 79
2026-11-11 vs Lincoln (CA) Oaklanders - Preview
2026-11-17 @ Stanford Cardinal - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jovan Jester Jr. Jovan Jester Jr. G 2 25.0 17.0 6.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 9.5 15.5 26 2 13.0 20.4 63.2 37.5 70.0 0.9 72.6 71.1
Tama Isaac Tama Isaac G 2 28.0 13.0 5.0 6.5 1.5 0.0 3.5 8.0 14.5 38 2 19.0 27.0 50.0 33.3 80.0 1.04 63.7 56.2
Nils Cooper Nils Cooper G 2 27.0 12.5 5.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 7.0 14.0 47 2 23.5 35.0 64.3 0.0 63.6 1.27 66.3 64.3
Josiah Johnson Josiah Johnson G 2 23.5 12.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 8.5 7.0 1 2 0.5 0.9 52.9 33.3 66.7 -0.37 59.6 55.9
Olivier Rioux Olivier Rioux C 2 20.5 10.0 9.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 7.0 12.0 25 2 12.5 23.8 64.3 0 33.3 0.19 60.1 64.3
Luke Isaak Luke Isaak G 2 11.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 9.0 18 2 9.0 33.5 44.4 44.4 100.0 0.64 74.3 66.7
Langston Redfield Langston Redfield G 2 15.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.5 11 2 5.5 14.9 50.0 33.3 50.0 -0.22 58.1 58.3
Dom Bentho Dom Bentho F 1 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1 1 -1.0 -23.5 100.0 0 100.0 -0.23 104.2 100.0
Parker Spees Parker Spees F 2 7.0 3.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.0 -10 2 -5.0 -26.5 42.9 0 0 -0.91 42.9 42.9
Tishan Ahir Tishan Ahir G 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Nes Emeneke Nes Emeneke C 2 16.0 2.5 8.0 0.5 0.0 4.5 0.5 4.5 10.5 9 2 4.5 11.4 22.2 0 50.0 -0.84 25.3 22.2
Bryce Goldman Bryce Goldman G 2 5.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 0 2 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.0 25.0 -0.16 52.5 66.7
Torian Lee Torian Lee G 2 11.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.0 7 2 3.5 13.2 50.0 50.0 0.0 -0.17 56.3 62.5
Joshua Palmer Joshua Palmer G 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2 1 2.0 19.3 50.0 0.0 0 0.02 50.0 50.0
Harrison Carrington Harrison Carrington F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Elijah Chol Elijah Chol F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ben Egbo Ben Egbo G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mason Hodges Mason Hodges F 1 7.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -3 1 -3.0 -34.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

124 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Rioux26% Isaac36% Johnson33% Johnson100% Johnson100% Jester40% Isaak100% Johnson20%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Emeneke36% Rioux29% Johnson100% Spees100% Johnson33% Jester29% Isaak67% Johnson17% Cooper50% Jester29%
Misses: who misses most here

Jovan Jester Jr.Josiah JohnsonNils CooperOlivier RiouxTama IsaacLuke IsaakParker SpeesNes Emeneke

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 34-45 75.6 68 Olivier Rioux 26% (18 pts) Nils Cooper 18% (12 pts) Nes Emeneke 36% (4 misses) Parker Spees 27% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 14-28 50.0 28 Tama Isaac 36% (10 pts) Jovan Jester Jr. 21% (6 pts) Olivier Rioux 29% (4 misses) Tama Isaac 21% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 3-7 42.9 6 Josiah Johnson 33% (2 pts) Jovan Jester Jr. 33% (2 pts) Josiah Johnson 100% (4 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Josiah Johnson 100% (2 pts) - Parker Spees 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-4 25.0 2 Josiah Johnson 100% (2 pts) - Josiah Johnson 33% (1 misses) Nes Emeneke 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 5-12 41.7 15 Jovan Jester Jr. 40% (6 pts) Tama Isaac 40% (6 pts) Jovan Jester Jr. 29% (2 misses) Joshua Palmer 14% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Luke Isaak 67% (2 misses) Torian Lee 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 3-9 33.3 9 Luke Isaak 100% (9 pts) - Josiah Johnson 17% (1 misses) Jovan Jester Jr. 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Nils Cooper 50% (1 misses) Tama Isaac 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-12 41.7 15 Josiah Johnson 20% (3 pts) Jovan Jester Jr. 20% (3 pts) Jovan Jester Jr. 29% (2 misses) Bryce Goldman 14% (1 misses)