🐻⬇️🏀

UC Davis

Season: 2026 2024 2022 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: UC Davis
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1043 (#140) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1106 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1019 (#258) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +22.4 (#74) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#45) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +49.3 More → 0.999 (#45) NetEff +49.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +55.4 More → 0.999 (#19) AdjNet +55.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +54.7 More → 0.999 (#24) AdjNet +54.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 45.9 More → 0.955 (#32) AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 45.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.713 (#76) AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 57.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.891 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.869 (#44) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Jessup W 72 - 35
2025-12-14 vs Chico St. W 74 - 42

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ryann Bennett - 2 30.0 16.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 11.5 6.5 - - - 52.2 37.5 75.0 - 66.6 65.2
Megan Norris - 2 29.6 11.5 15.0 2.5 1.0 4.5 0.5 7.0 27.0 - - - 64.3 71.4 0 - 82.1 82.1
Nya Epps - 2 27.2 9.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 12.5 -1.0 - - - 36.0 0.0 50.0 - 36.7 36.0
Tegan Young - 2 25.9 9.0 7.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 6.5 12.0 - - - 53.8 40.0 0.0 - 67.0 69.2
Emmy Ersdala - 2 16.1 8.0 4.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 8.5 - - - 45.5 37.5 75.0 - 62.7 59.1
Avery Sussex - 2 25.1 7.5 7.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.5 9.5 - - - 35.3 25.0 0 - 44.1 44.1
Victoria Baker - 1 13.8 7.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 42.9 20.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Carrington Davis - 2 11.1 3.5 4.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 5.0 4.5 -82 -4.1 -58.9 30.0 0 100.0 -0.77 33.5 30.0
Sophie Lentfer - 2 15.1 3.0 3.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.5 - - - 12.5 0.0 80.0 - 29.4 12.5
Sahana Kanagasabay - 1 6.3 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Theoni Tsami - 2 9.8 0.0 5.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG