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UC Davis

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: UC Davis
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1022 (#228) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 992 (#329) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +9.1 (#169) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.976 (#86) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.8 More → 0.966 (#61) AdjNet +28.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.8 More → 0.968 (#60) AdjNet +28.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.2 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.881 (#60) AdjO 87.2 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.586 (#166) AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 74.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.682 (#156) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.655 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#151) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Menlo W 96 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nils Cooper - 1 26.9 18.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 19.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 100.0 - 92.2 87.5
Isaiah Chappell - 1 20.1 16.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 7.0 - - - 54.5 66.7 0 - 72.7 72.7
Connor Sevilla - 1 21.1 14.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 55.6 57.1 0.0 - 74.2 77.8
Omer Suljanovic - 1 23.2 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Carl Daughtery Jr. - 1 18.6 9.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 11.0 15 1.7 378.9 30.0 33.3 100.0 1.12 41.4 35.0
Marcus Wilson - 1 23.4 9.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 13.0 13 0.7 4.1 37.5 33.3 50.0 2.49 46.1 43.8
Jalen Stokes - 1 16.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 - - - 28.6 50.0 100.0 - 48.1 35.7
Niko Rocak - 1 20.5 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 - - - 75.0 0 0.0 - 56.4 75.0
Chase Rawlins - 1 17.6 3.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 75.0 - 39.9 0.0
Cyril Franklin Jr. - 1 4.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 15 1.7 378.9 100.0 0 0 1.12 100.0 100.0
Jonathan Noudjihidi - 1 5.5 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Abdullah Amzil - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG