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UC Davis

Also known as: UC Davis Aggies
Program History
Coach: Jim Les

2014 Team Stats (13 games)

71.0
PPG
74.9
Opp
-3.9
Margin
46.2%
FG%
39.1%
3P%
68.3%
FT%
28.5
RPG
12.8
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.3
Adj PPG
77.8
Adj Opp PPG
#317
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 782 (#319) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 765 (#319) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 887 (#317) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -10.9 (#311) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -11.3 (#317) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.179 (#323) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.151 (#302) AdjNet -15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.150 (#302) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 77.8 More โ†’ 0.278 (#317) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 77.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 74.7 More โ†’ 0.312 (#332) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.227 (#316) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.233 (#316) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 29 More โ†’ 788 (#307) RD 152 | GP 29

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Portland Pilots L 83 - 100
2013-11-11 vs Holy Names University Hawks W 80 - 54
2013-11-15 @ Utah Utes L 60 - 94
2013-11-22 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 80 - 75
2013-11-23 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 64 - 61
2013-11-24 @ Portland State Vikings L 63 - 79
2013-11-26 vs Sacramento State Hornets L 67 - 73
2013-11-30 vs Idaho Vandals L 76 - 80
2013-12-02 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 53 - 77
2013-12-07 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 81 - 87
2013-12-14 @ Stanford Cardinal L 56 - 83
2013-12-18 @ San Josรฉ State Spartans L 85 - 89
2013-12-21 vs Air Force Falcons W 80 - 74
2013-12-30 vs Furman Paladins L 65 - 75
2014-01-02 vs Simpson (CA) Red Hawks W 93 - 69
2014-01-09 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 77 - 89
2014-01-11 @ Long Beach State Beach L 74 - 99
2014-01-16 vs UC Riverside Highlanders L 69 - 81
2014-01-18 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 69 - 61
2014-01-23 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 73 - 90
2014-01-30 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 62 - 58
2014-02-01 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 67 - 82
2014-02-06 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 90 - 86
2014-02-08 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 59 - 61
2014-02-13 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 64 - 74
2014-02-20 vs Long Beach State Beach L 57 - 79
2014-02-22 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 77 - 86
2014-02-27 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 85 - 73
2014-03-01 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 54 - 67
2014-03-06 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 65 - 78
2014-03-08 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 46 - 74

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Corey Hawkins Corey Hawkins G 28 33.9 18.2 4.4 3.0 1.5 0.4 2.0 7.5 18.0 -108 24 -4.5 -5.6 44.1 33.3 78.0 2.76 98.7 48.6
Josh Ritchart Josh Ritchart G 9 28.9 17.3 6.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 7.7 17.9 30 7 4.3 6.1 63.8 55.0 55.2 1.28 95.4 71.7
Ryan Sypkens Ryan Sypkens G 29 27.7 11.4 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.1 4.9 9.5 -44 25 -1.8 -2.7 45.1 46.8 100.0 1.84 114.8 63.4
Georgi Funtarov Georgi Funtarov F 24 24.0 8.6 4.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.4 3.9 9.4 - - - - 40.9 31.1 52.9 - 102.5 48.4
Brynton Lemar Brynton Lemar G 23 23.4 7.8 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 2.9 7.4 -137 21 -6.5 -11.6 40.9 30.0 53.3 -2.61 123.3 43.2
Iggy Nujic Iggy Nujic F 13 22.4 6.6 3.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.5 6.2 3.9 -49 19 -2.6 -5.0 38.3 29.7 72.2 -1.35 48.4 45.1
Darius Graham Darius Graham G 29 25.5 6.6 2.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 2.0 2.9 7.3 -92 25 -3.7 -6.2 46.4 43.5 71.7 -0.96 92.1 52.4
Clint Bozner Clint Bozner F 28 16.6 5.0 3.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.9 5.6 -122 24 -5.1 -12.7 55.6 0 60.0 -5.17 106.9 55.6
Avery Johnson Avery Johnson G 29 25.4 4.6 2.9 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 7.0 -163 25 -6.5 -11.4 43.6 40.7 57.1 -4.45 104.3 53.6
Justin Dueck Justin Dueck F 19 12.7 1.0 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 2.5 - - - - 42.9 0 33.3 - 114.2 42.9
O. Betu O. Betu G 20 8.0 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 2.1 -7 17 -0.4 -2.9 40.0 0.0 50.0 -0.99 103.6 40.0
Carlos Mancasola Carlos Mancasola G 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Justin Dueck Justin Dueck - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG