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2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% -1.2 โœ— (9.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% - โœ—
Margin 66.5% 33.5% -3.8 โœ— (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 74.0% 26.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +8 (69-61). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Harris * 38 6-16 3-8 4-4 5 1 1 0 2 19 8 -
Michael Williams * 37 5-14 0-5 3-3 2 0 2 2 3 13 2 -
Sheldon Blackwell * 23 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
Marquis Horne * 15 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
James Johnson * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Steve McClellan 27 2-4 0-0 2-3 13 1 0 1 2 6 15 -
Josh Gentry 24 3-9 0-5 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 7 1 -
Chris Collins 14 1-3 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
Floris Versteeg 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jared Brandon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Hawkins * 37 8-16 1-3 5-8 5 1 1 2 4 22 11 -
Avery Johnson * 34 3-3 1-1 2-4 5 0 1 0 0 9 12 -
Georgi Funtarov * 23 3-7 1-3 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 9 3 -
Justin Dueck * 22 0-1 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
Olivier-Paul Betu * 21 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 3 4 0 0 1 11 -
Iggy Nujic 26 4-9 1-4 1-1 1 0 0 1 2 10 1 -
Ryan Sypkens 24 5-10 3-8 2-2 1 0 1 3 1 15 9 -
Darius Graham 13 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter