UC Davis Aggies - 2024

2024 Team Stats (3 games)

52.3

PPG

66.7

Opp

-14.4

Margin

34.9%

FG%

30.6%

3P%

60.6%

FT%

32.0

RPG

11.0

APG

18.0

TO

79.2

Pace

Model Outputs

2023-2024

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1084 (#123)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1149 (#108)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More →	+21.5 (#143)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.625 (#143)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.5 More →	0.050 (#96)	AdjNet -25.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.7 More →	0.043 (#97)	AdjNet -26.7

2024 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2023-12-20	@	Stanford Cardinal	L	52 - 92
2023-12-28	@	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	L	49 - 60
2024-03-14	@	Cal Poly Mustangs	W	56 - 48

2024 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
T. Sabel	G	3	31.0	13.3	3.3	1.7	0.7	0.3	2.0	15.0	2.3	-26	-2.6	-2.7	35.6	43.8	50.0	-0.35	43.6	43.3
E. Turner	G	3	36.7	12.0	5.7	2.3	0.7	0.0	3.7	13.7	3.3	11	1.2	1.2	36.6	27.3	75.0	0.06	42.1	40.2
N. Epps	G	3	20.7	9.0	1.3	0.7	1.0	0.3	1.7	6.0	4.7	28	3.5	6.2	55.6	66.7	42.9	0.5	64.0	66.7
M. Norris	C	3	28.0	7.3	5.0	2.0	0.3	1.0	1.7	7.7	6.3	50	6.2	8.2	30.4	0.0	80.0	0.39	40.1	30.4
S. Burns	G	3	23.0	4.3	2.3	1.0	2.3	0.0	3.3	4.3	2.3	9	0.9	1.2	38.5	25.0	100.0	-0.14	46.8	42.3
B. Shine	F	3	14.3	3.3	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	2.7	2.0	-46	-4.6	-10.5	37.5	50.0	50.0	-0.76	56.3	56.2
V. Baker	G	3	6.3	1.0	0.3	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.7	1.3	0.7	37	3.4	7.3	25.0	0	50.0	0.25	30.7	25.0
A. Fitzgerald	F	3	7.3	1.0	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7	1.3	0.3	-20	-2.9	-11.7	25.0	33.3	0	-0.28	37.5	37.5
M. Harris	F	3	22.7	0.7	3.3	1.0	0.3	0.0	2.0	3.0	0.3	-17	-1.7	-1.7	11.1	0.0	0	-0.48	11.1	11.1
C. Gray	G	2	11.0	0.5	2.5	2.0	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.0	4.5	-9	-0.9	-2.5	0.0	0.0	25.0	-0.22	13.3	0.0
C. Glad	G	2	4.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	-0.5	4	0.5	3.3	0.0	0.0	0	-0.2	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG