UC Davis Aggies - 2016

2016 Team Stats (4 games)

64.0

PPG

72.5

Opp

-6.5

Margin

39.9%

FG%

25.4%

3P%

71.4%

FT%

38.8

RPG

12.8

APG

15.5

TO

80.0

Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1172 (#71)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1103 (#116)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More →	+23.3 (#111)	HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.712 (#118)	-

2016 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2015-11-13	vs	Stanford Cardinal	L	45 - 74
2016-03-03	@	Long Beach State Beach	L	64 - 74
2016-03-05	@	UC Irvine Anteaters	W	76 - 70
2016-03-09	vs	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	W	71 - 67
2016-03-11	@	UC Riverside Highlanders	W	81 - 72
2016-03-12	@	Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine	L	59 - 78

2016 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
M. Bertsch	-	4	26.5	16.2	6.2	0.8	1.2	1.0	3.2	9.0	13.2	-	-	-	63.9	0	59.4	1.07	64.9	63.9
A. Doherty	F	4	29.2	12.2	7.5	1.5	0.8	0.8	3.5	9.2	10.0	-	-	-	45.9	0.0	83.3	1.79	54.5	45.9
R. Nagel	G	4	25.8	10.5	2.8	1.5	0.8	0.0	2.2	10.5	2.8	-	-	-	35.7	33.3	100.0	0.54	47.5	44.0
P. Gianotti	F	4	33.8	9.0	6.0	0.5	0.5	0.0	1.8	8.5	5.8	-	-	-	32.4	13.3	70.6	1.59	43.4	35.3
C. Marfone	F	4	29.0	7.8	6.2	2.0	0.5	0.2	1.0	5.8	10.0	-	-	-	43.5	62.5	75.0	2.32	58.4	54.3
K. Eaton	G	4	23.5	4.5	0.5	5.2	0.8	0.0	1.5	5.5	4.0	-	-	-	31.8	8.3	100.0	0.95	38.6	34.1
D. Nafekh	G	4	18.2	2.2	2.2	1.0	0.5	0.0	1.8	2.8	1.5	-	-	-	18.2	20.0	66.7	0.7	33.0	22.7
T. McGuire	G	3	5.3	1.0	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.3	0.3	-	-	-	25.0	33.3	0	-0.04	37.5	37.5
K. Eaton	G	3	5.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.0	-	-	-	50.0	0.0	50.0	0.95	52.1	50.0
L. Beyer	F	2	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	0	0	0	-0.05	0	0
H. Johnson	F	2	7.0	0.0	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	-32	-4.0	-369.2	0.0	0.0	0	-0.27	0.0	0.0
M. Greubel	G	1	1.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-0.38	0.0	0.0
L. Seyranian	G	1	8.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	2.0	-2.0	-	-	-	0.0	0	0	-0.58	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG