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2016-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Roper 37 7-18 3-8 3-5 4 4 1 1 2 20 10 -
C. Miller 30 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 2 -
O. Jemerigbe 29 4-5 0-0 3-3 1 1 1 0 2 11 7 -
C. Durr 27 3-6 0-0 3-5 9 1 0 0 1 9 12 -
J. Ware 24 2-9 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 4 1 -
J. Newton 22 2-8 0-0 4-7 7 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
T. Farris 14 2-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
D. Lopez 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 3 7 -
K. Morrison 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Gianotti 38 4-9 2-5 5-6 7 0 0 0 0 15 13 -
C. Marfone 32 4-6 3-3 4-4 5 2 1 0 0 15 17 -
M. Bertsch 28 11-16 0-0 4-9 8 0 1 1 2 26 18 -
R. Nagel 26 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 7 4 -
D. Nafekh 25 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 2 0 -
A. Doherty 22 2-8 0-0 2-3 5 3 0 2 1 6 7 -
K. Eaton 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. McGuire 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Eaton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Beyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter