Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1055 (#159) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.6 (#309) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.500 (#467) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.279 (#470) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.274 (#467) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.357 (#481) | AdjO 35.4 | AdjD 41.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.595 (#224) | AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.572 (#338) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.583 (#332) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1141 (#112) | RD 138 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | La Verne | W | 105 - 73 |
| 2025-11-03 | @ | San Francisco | L | 53 - 98 |
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Redlands | L | 88 - 102 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Pacific Lutheran | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | UChicago | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Emory | L | 78 - 96 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Caltech | W | 82 - 66 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Willamette | W | 87 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | George Fox | W | 97 - 67 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Lewis & Clark | W | 95 - 85 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Whittier | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Chapman | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Southern California | L | 63 - 102 |
| 2025-12-27 | @ | Puget Sound | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2025-12-28 | @ | Pacific Lutheran | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2026-01-12 | @ | Cal Maritime | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Simpson (CA) | W | 78 - 64 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath | - | 1 | 24.6 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 64.3 | 50.0 | 62.5 | - | 68.5 | 67.9 |
| Andrew Ferrara-Jones | - | 6 | 32.4 | 15.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 12.5 | 5.2 | -15 | -7.5 | -10.2 | 42.7 | 29.7 | 82.6 | -0.66 | 55.2 | 50.0 |
| Joe Espy | - | 19 | 26.7 | 15.6 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 13.8 | -93 | -5.2 | -54.2 | 57.4 | 17.6 | 55.1 | 0.06 | 58.9 | 58.1 |
| Tom Beattie | - | 1 | 24.6 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 62.5 | - | 78.8 | 83.3 |
| Alex Chaikin | - | 1 | 16.3 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 78.1 | 71.4 |
| Hudson Mayes | - | 1 | 12.8 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Leo Wagner | - | 19 | 21.1 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 9.5 | -86 | -5.4 | -73.4 | 55.9 | 46.0 | 84.9 | -1.02 | 70.9 | 66.5 |
| Bol Dengdit | - | 1 | 21.8 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 83.3 | - | 57.9 | 41.7 |
| Caden Breznikar | - | 15 | 27.6 | 9.6 | 6.7 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 10.1 | -43 | -3.6 | -33.2 | 40.6 | 23.5 | 69.6 | -0.94 | 47.0 | 42.1 |
| Ben Lim | - | 17 | 23.3 | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 7.2 | -76 | -5.4 | -37.0 | 48.3 | 24.4 | 66.7 | 0.43 | 54.8 | 52.5 |
| Thomas Conley | - | 19 | 24.4 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 6.3 | -109 | -6.8 | -77.8 | 43.9 | 40.4 | 79.5 | -2.27 | 60.1 | 54.7 |
| Aidan Burke | - | 1 | 21.9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Hunter Kennedy | - | 15 | 19.8 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 5.9 | -74 | -5.3 | -80.3 | 41.7 | 38.6 | 70.6 | -2.05 | 55.1 | 53.1 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | - | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 81.0 | 66.7 |
| Ryder Elisaldez | - | 1 | 13.6 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 63.0 | 33.3 |
| Cade Pendleton | - | 1 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Miles Burrows | - | 19 | 17.4 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 2.1 | -27 | -1.6 | -20.1 | 34.6 | 28.0 | 83.3 | -2.35 | 48.3 | 43.6 |
| Jaden Gamez | - | 13 | 13.6 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.3 | 20.8 | 37.5 | 34.4 | 100.0 | -1.08 | 49.3 | 47.3 |
| Jaden Vance | - | 1 | 16.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Aidan Carleson | - | 19 | 16.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 4.3 | -98 | -5.4 | -117.6 | 49.1 | 36.8 | 80.0 | -3.34 | 59.0 | 55.3 |
| Ollie Miller | - | 2 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -6 | -3.0 | -20.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.08 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Elijah Brookes | - | 12 | 11.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | -6 | -0.5 | -55.4 | 45.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.68 | 53.8 | 55.0 |
| Darren Naruse | - | 7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | -1 | -0.2 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.56 | 63.7 | 50.0 |
| Teni Salako | - | 8 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | -7 | -1.4 | -31.6 | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.45 | 32.7 | 20.0 |
| Christopher Cox | - | 1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Trap Johnson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 38 | 2.1 | 22.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic | - | 1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG