🐻⬇️🏀

UAH

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: UAH
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1067 (#208) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1024 (#271) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +46.5 (#35) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#107) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +48.9 More → 0.997 (#78) AdjNet +48.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +47.8 More → 0.997 (#81) AdjNet +47.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 46.2 More → 0.946 (#89) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 46.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 53.2 More → 0.857 (#32) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 53.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.946 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.935 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 263 | GP 1 More → 1118 (#138) RD 263 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-30 vs LaGrange W 84 - 34

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ava McSwain - 1 23.6 16.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 5.0 - - - 43.8 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mia Hollingsworth - 1 24.2 15.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 12.0 - - - 60.0 60.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Lili Wilken - 1 17.1 10.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 75.0 - 57.1 50.0
Bella White - 1 18.8 9.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 10.0 4 1.0 41.6 42.9 0.0 75.0 -0.35 51.4 42.9
Mckenzie Percoski - 1 15.7 8.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 57.1 0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Chloe Siegel - 1 20.6 6.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Millie Brown - 1 20.6 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 -58 -2.1 -26.6 66.7 66.7 0 0.75 100.0 100.0
Ivey Maddox - 1 16.4 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Paris Opelt - 1 16.7 5.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Grace Lynch - 1 11.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 50.0 - 41.0 37.5
Danika Starr - 1 14.7 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG