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Truett-McConnell

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Truett-McConnell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 966 (#436) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 924 (#454) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 989 (#530) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -12.8 (#575) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.301 (#595) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.8 More → 0.169 (#563) AdjNet -13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.8 More → 0.167 (#561) AdjNet -13.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 82.7 More → 0.267 (#581) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 82.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 76.1 More → 0.469 (#478) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 76.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.295 (#579) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.324 (#568) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 885 (#494) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ LaGrange L 76 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kani Rashied-Henry - 1 30.0 16.0 10.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 20.0 58 4.1 19.2 62.5 0 75.0 5.83 69.4 62.5
Austen Colton - 1 20.0 15.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 54 4.2 24.9 50.0 55.6 0 2.47 75.0 75.0
Micah McAllister - 1 22.0 8.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 15.0 132 8.2 40.6 66.7 0.0 0 0.42 66.7 66.7
Catfish Battle - 1 12.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -53 -4.1 -57.4 66.7 0 100.0 -4.52 77.3 66.7
Trenton Dillard - 1 13.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 -8 -0.5 -3.6 75.0 0 0 -3.0 75.0 75.0
Parker Gonzalez - 1 18.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 8.0 -1 -0.1 -0.5 100.0 0 100.0 -0.06 104.2 100.0
Chadan Hamiliton - 1 20.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 14 1.8 49.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.67 51.5 33.3
Jace Herrell - 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 87 5.4 40.2 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.04 43.6 33.3
Ford Barnes - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -2.0 -39.8 0 0 0 -1.56 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG