Truett-McConnell Bears
Also known as: Truett-McConnell Bears
Program History
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 992 (#430) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.9 (#724) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.2 (#587) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.418 (#534) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.186 (#555) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.222 (#561) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 918 (#407) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-30 | @ | Presbyterian Blue Hose | L | 49 - 91 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Arias-Ortega
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Brown
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 52 | 2.7 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 |
C. Seitz
|
- | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Covington
|
- | 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
E. Smith
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
R. Bryant
|
- | 1 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG